KalshiWill Trump invoke the Taft-Hartley Act during his presidency?Before Jan 20, 202933%$5K vol1 market
KalshiWhich Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump's term?Samuel Alito72%Clarence Thomas51%$107.4K vol9 markets
KalshiWhat will the Supreme Court look like at the end of Trump's term?6 Conservatives and 3 Liberals75%7 Conservatives and 2 Liberals11%$29.6K vol5 markets
KalshiWill the size of the Supreme Court be changed during Trump's Presidency?Before Jan 20, 20293%$5.8K vol1 market
KalshiWill the Supreme Court hear a 3rd Amendment case before Trump's term ends?any 3rd Amendment case11%$8.8K vol1 market
KalshiWho will be Trump's next Secretary of State?No other person60%Robert O'Brien16%$5.5K vol5 markets
KalshiWho will leave office first: RFK Jr., Hegseth, or Patel?Pete Hegseth36%Kash Patel32%$18.6K vol3 markets
KalshiWho will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?No other person48%Joni Ernst9%$35.8K vol17 markets
KalshiWill Trump be held liable for January 6th in any court?Before his term ends25%$8.4K vol1 market
KalshiWill Trump invoke the Insurrection Act?Before Jan 20, 202941%Before 202717%$588.7K vol2 markets
KalshiWill the independence of the judiciary be weakened during Trump's term?Before 202914%$2.9K vol1 market
KalshiWill Trump buy at least part of Greenland?Before January 20, 202914%Before 20273%$5.1M vol2 markets
KalshiWill a new Constitutional Amendment be added during Trump's term?During Trump's term8%$39.9K vol1 market
KalshiWho will leave Trump's Cabinet next?Pete Hegseth26%Robert F. Kennedy Jr.20%$224.5K vol21 markets
KalshiWill Section IV of the 25th Amendment be used during Trump's Presidency?Before 202920%$189.1K vol1 market
KalshiWill Israel and Syria normalize relations during Trump's term?Before Jan 20, 202924%$38.7K vol1 market
KalshiWill Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations during Trump's term?During Trump's term32%$91.3K vol1 market
KalshiWill Israel and Qatar normalize relations during Trump's term?Before Jan 20, 202917%$16.9K vol1 market
KalshiUS labor force participation rate at year-end 2028Above 56.00%98%Above 58.00%94%$13.5K vol17 markets
Kalshi2028 popular vote margin of victory?Democratic by 9.0% or more22%Democratic by 8.0% to 8.99%19%$106K vol20 markets
KalshiHoward Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary?Before Apr 1, 202724%Before Jul 1, 20270%$1 vol6 markets
KalshiHow many people will serve as Prime Minister of the UK before 2029?Above 54%51%$2.5K vol6 markets
KalshiWhen will the U.S. have a Cabinet-level AI official?Before Jan 1, 202815%Before Jan 1, 202711%$2.1K vol3 markets
Kalshi2028 Electoral College margin of victory?Democratic by 91 to 13014%Democratic by 61 to 9012%$7K vol14 markets
KalshiWill OpenAI or Anthropic announce recursive self-improvement?Before Jan 1, 202859%Before Jan 1, 202718%$800.2 vol3 markets
KalshiGlobal remittances received in 2026Above $800 billion96%Above $900 billion60%$10.7K vol8 markets
KalshiWill the average minimum temperature in Texas (DFW & IAH) fall below 20°F for at least 2 days within a 4-day span?Before 202968%Before 202836%$372.9 vol3 markets
KalshiJannik Sinner to Complete Tennis by 2028Jannik Sinner to win every major tennis event by 202815%$460.8 vol1 market
KalshiWhen will a reconciliation bill become law?Before Jul 1, 202834%Before Jan 1, 202833%$1.5K vol6 markets
KalshiWill a date be announced for another Quebec Referendum before 2029?Before 202918%$3.8K vol1 market
PolymarketDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%Gavin Newsom16%$1.3B vol128 markets
PolymarketPresidential Election Winner 2028JD Vance21%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15%$713.4M vol128 markets
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028J.D. Vance50%Robert F. Kennedy Jr.49%$709.7M vol128 markets
PolymarketBrazil Presidential ElectionFlávio Bolsonaro84%Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva17%$174M vol32 markets
PolymarketKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?December 316%October 311%$75.5M vol11 markets
PolymarketMLB World Series Champion 2026Los Angeles Dodgers29%Milwaukee Brewers27%$43.5M vol31 markets
PolymarketPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?Gadi Eizenkot47%Benjamin Netanyahu36%$43.4M vol28 markets