KalshiPolitics

Kevin Warsh out as Fed chair?

Before Jan 2030

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

Before Jan 1, 20272.4K VOL.
Yes 2%No 98%
2¢
Before Jan 1, 20283K VOL.
Yes 3%No 97%
3¢
Before Jan 1, 202979.2 VOL.
Yes 5%No 95%
5¢
Before Jan 1, 20301.2K VOL.
Yes 12%No 88%
12¢
Before Jan 1, 2031900.9 VOL.
Yes 82%No 18%
82¢

Rules Summary

If Kevin Warsh leaves as chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened: Jul 22, 2026, 3:35 PM
Closes: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM
Pays out: 0.5 hours after close

Series KXWARSHOUT · Event KXWARSHOUT-26JUL · Market KXWARSHOUT-26JUL-27JAN01