Will Trump invoke the Taft-Hartley Act during his presidency?
- Before Jan 20, 202924%
$5K vol1 market
Prediction Markets
Explore what the market thinks will happen next.
What will be the 51st state in Trump's term?
- Cuba4%
- Venezuela3%
$1.9M vol8 markets
Will Trump add a 51st state to the US?
- Before 202913%
$86.6K vol1 market
Which Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump's term?
- Samuel Alito67%
- Clarence Thomas48%
$108.4K vol9 markets
What will the Supreme Court look like at the end of Trump's term?
- 6 Conservatives and 3 Liberals74%
- 7 Conservatives and 2 Liberals12%
$29.6K vol5 markets
Will the size of the Supreme Court be changed during Trump's Presidency?
- Before Jan 20, 20293%
$5.8K vol1 market
Will the Supreme Court hear a 3rd Amendment case before Trump's term ends?
- any 3rd Amendment case11%
$9.1K vol1 market
Will Trump recognize Somaliland?
- Before Jan 20, 202952%
- Before Jan 1, 20274%
$32.1K vol2 markets
Will Trump recognize Taiwan?
- Before Jan 20, 202910%
- Before 20271%
$38.7K vol2 markets
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of State?
- No other person60%
- Robert O'Brien16%
$5.5K vol5 markets
Who will leave office first: RFK Jr., Hegseth, or Patel?
- Pete Hegseth45%
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr.34%
$19.7K vol3 markets
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?
- No other person46%
- Dan Driscoll23%
$41.3K vol17 markets
How many Supreme Court justices will the President confirm?
- 238%
- 030%
$215.2K vol10 markets
Will Trump approve a new city on federal land?
- Before Jan 20, 202935%
$5.7K vol1 market
Will Trump impose martial law before his term ends?
- Before Jan 20, 202935%
$85.3K vol1 market
Will Trump be held liable for January 6th in any court?
- Before his term ends17%
$8.4K vol1 market
Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act?
- Before Jan 20, 202944%
- Before Jan 1, 202719%
$606.7K vol2 markets
Will the independence of the judiciary be weakened during Trump's term?
- Before 202923%
$3K vol1 market
Will a cabinet member be impeached?
- Before Jan 1, 202866%
- Before Jan 20, 202965%
$106.2K vol3 markets
Will President Trump be impeached during his term?
- Before Jan 20, 202974%
$712.3K vol1 market
Will Trump suspend habeas corpus?
- Before Trump's term ends14%
$3.1K vol1 market
Will Trump expand the H-1B program?
- Before 202919%
$123.5K vol1 market
Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?
- Before January 20, 202915%
- Before 20273%
$5.2M vol2 markets
Will the U.S. enact a free trade agreement with China?
- Before 202917%
$71K vol1 market
Will the U.S. enact a free trade agreement?
- Before Jan 20, 202945%
$25.4K vol1 market
Will Trump make IVF free?
- Before 202914%
$37.5K vol1 market
Will Trump end the Federal Reserve?
- Before Jan 20, 20297%
$134.2K vol1 market
Will Trump abolish the Department of Education?
- Before Jan 20, 20299%
$164.8K vol1 market
Will a new Constitutional Amendment be added during Trump's term?
- During Trump's term8%
$40.1K vol1 market
Will Trump impose capital controls?
- Before 202922%
$6K vol1 market
Will Trump take back the Panama Canal?
- During Trump's term19%
$610.1K vol1 market
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?
- Susie Wiles29%
- Pete Hegseth20%
$259.3K vol21 markets
Will Section IV of the 25th Amendment be used during Trump's Presidency?
- Before Jan 20, 202920%
$190.5K vol1 market
Which agencies will Trump eliminate?
- USAID19%
- EPA12%
$200.3K vol4 markets
Will Obamacare be repealed before 2029?
- Before Jan 20, 202916%
$9.1K vol1 market
Will Israel and Syria normalize relations during Trump's term?
- Before Jan 20, 202912%
$39.2K vol1 market
Will Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations during Trump's term?
- During Trump's term44%
$94.7K vol1 market
Will Israel and Qatar normalize relations during Trump's term?
- Before Jan 20, 202913%
$16.9K vol1 market
West Virginia governor winner? (2028)
- Republican88%
- Democratic14%
$8.6K vol2 markets
Missouri governor winner? (2028)
- Republican95%
- Democratic3%
$7.9K vol2 markets
Indiana Governor winner? (2028)
- Republican88%
- Democratic12%
$1.9K vol2 markets
US unemployment rate at year-end 2028
- Above 6.0%46%
- Above 9.0%8%
$2.5K vol15 markets
US labor force participation rate at year-end 2028
- Above 56.00%98%
- Above 58.00%94%
$13.6K vol17 markets
New Hampshire Governor winner?
- Kelly Ayotte94%
- Cinde Warmington6%
$212.6K vol2 markets
2028 popular vote margin of victory?
- Democratic by 9.0% or more25%
- Democratic by 7.0% to 7.99%12%
$139.1K vol20 markets
RFK Jr. out as HHS Secretary?
- Before Jan 1, 202838%
- Before Jul 1, 202732%
$3.6K vol6 markets
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary?
- Before Apr 1, 202724%
- Before Jul 1, 20270%
$1 vol6 markets
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor?
- Before Jan 1, 202993%
- Before Jul 1, 202881%
$24.7K vol8 markets
Will SCOTUS end the White House ballroom injunction?
- Before Jan 1, 202936%
$6.1K vol1 market
How many people will serve as Prime Minister of the UK before 2029?
- Above 54%
- 51%
$2.5K vol6 markets
When will Canada gain EU associate status?
- Before 202817%
- Before 202915%
$6.6K vol2 markets
Will Apple win its case against OpenAI?
- Before 202965%
$238.6 vol1 market
Will Amazon win the FTC ad surcharge lawsuit?
- Before 202925%
$27.3 vol1 market
When will the U.S. have a Cabinet-level AI official?
- Before Jan 1, 202829%
- Before Jan 1, 20275%
$2.4K vol3 markets
2028 Electoral College margin of victory?
- Democratic by 91 to 13012%
- Democratic by 61 to 9010%
$23.3K vol14 markets
Fed funds rate at end of 2028
- Above 1.00%90%
- Above 1.75%85%
$4.1K vol21 markets
Will OpenAI or Anthropic announce recursive self-improvement?
- Before Jan 1, 202966%
- Before Jan 1, 202848%
$1.8K vol3 markets
Global remittances sent in 2026
- Above $500 billion80%
- Above $550 billion73%
$4K vol7 markets
Global remittances received in 2026
- Above $800 billion96%
- Above $900 billion67%
$11.1K vol8 markets
Will the average minimum temperature in Texas (DFW & IAH) fall below 20°F for at least 2 days within a 4-day span?
- Before 202968%
- Before 202837%
$405.2 vol3 markets
Indiana Senate winner? (2028)
- Republican party94%
- Democratic party5%
$2.6K vol2 markets
Vermont Governor Winner? (2028)
- Republican52%
- Democratic47%
$8.9K vol2 markets
Wisconsin Senate winner? (2028)
- Democratic party64%
- Republican party41%
$9.3K vol2 markets
Washington Senate winner? (2028)
- Democratic party97%
- Republican party4%
$3.8K vol2 markets
Vermont Senate winner? (2028)
- Democratic party96%
- Republican party4%
$6.7K vol2 markets
Utah Senate winner? (2028)
- Republican party80%
- Democratic party17%
$2.8K vol2 markets
South Dakota Senate winner? (2028)
- Republican party92%
- Democratic party7%
$741.2 vol2 markets
South Carolina Senate winner? (2028)
- Republican party75%
- Democratic party23%
$10K vol2 markets
Pennsylvania Senate winner? (2028)
- Democratic party66%
- Republican party27%
$8K vol3 markets
Oregon Senate winner? (2028)
- Democratic party88%
- Republican party9%
$1.3K vol2 markets
Oklahoma Senate winner? (2028)
- Republican party94%
- Democratic party1%
$1.9K vol2 markets
Ohio Senate winner? (2028)
- Republican party52%
- Democratic party48%
$30K vol2 markets
New York Senate winner? (2028)
- Democratic party97%
- Republican party3%
$2.1K vol2 markets
Nevada Senate winner? (2028)
- Democratic party63%
- Republican party42%
$2.6K vol2 markets
New Hampshire Senate winner? (2028)
- Democratic party91%
- Republican party9%
$962.5 vol2 markets
North Dakota Senate winner? (2028)
- Republican party87%
- Democratic party13%
$2.7K vol2 markets
North Carolina Senate winner? (2028)
- Democratic party67%
- Republican party41%
$18.4K vol2 markets
Missouri Senate winner? (2028)
- Republican party91%
- Democratic party14%
$1.7K vol2 markets
Maryland Senate winner? (2028)
- Democratic party96%
- Republican party3%
$1.8K vol2 markets
Louisiana Senate winner? (2028)
- Republican party89%
- Democratic party6%
$3.1K vol2 markets
Kansas Senate winner? (2028)
- Republican party76%
- Democratic party29%
$5.9K vol2 markets
Illinois Senate winner? (2028)
- Democratic party92%
- Republican party4%
$342.2 vol2 markets
Idaho Senate winner? (2028)
- Republican party87%
- Democratic party16%
$3.2K vol2 markets
Iowa Senate winner? (2028)
- Democratic party68%
- Republican party64%
$2.3K vol2 markets
Hawaii Senate winner? (2028)
- Democratic party86%
- Republican party10%
$6.7K vol2 markets
Georgia Senate winner? (2028)
- Democratic party70%
- Republican party34%
$2.5K vol2 markets
Florida Senate winner? (2028)
- Republican party80%
- Democratic party51%
$5.3K vol2 markets
Connecticut Senate winner? (2028)
- Democratic party96%
- Republican party4%
$2.2K vol2 markets
Colorado Senate winner? (2028)
- Democratic party94%
- Republican party8%
$311.5 vol2 markets
California Senate winner? (2028)
- Democratic party92%
- Republican party12%
$2K vol2 markets
Arizona Senate winner? (2028)
- Democratic party73%
- Republican party28%
$16.3K vol2 markets
Arkansas Senate winner? (2028)
- Republican party96%
- Democratic party12%
$1.3K vol2 markets
Alabama Senate winner? (2028)
- Republican party96%
- Democratic party4%
$264.1 vol2 markets
Alaska Senate winner? (2028)
- Republican party74%
- Democratic party34%
$3.2K vol2 markets
Utah governor winner? (2028)
- Republican party85%
- Democratic party14%
$3K vol2 markets
Montana governor winner? (2028)
- Republican91%
- Democratic10%
$3.5K vol2 markets
Euphoria: New season announcement date
- Before Jan 202931%
- Before Jan 202825%
$3.8K vol3 markets
Jannik Sinner to Complete Tennis by 2028
- Jannik Sinner to win every major tennis event by 202826%
$463.9 vol1 market
When will a reconciliation bill become law?
- Before Jul 1, 202834%
- Before Jan 1, 202833%
$1.5K vol6 markets
Will a date be announced for another Quebec Referendum before 2029?
- Before 202918%
$3.8K vol1 market
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez17%
- Gavin Newsom15%
$1.3B vol128 markets
Presidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance21%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
$717M vol128 markets
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr.49%
- J.D. Vance48%
$712.6M vol128 markets
F1 Drivers' Champion
- Kimi Antonelli98%
- Max Verstappen2%
$204.4M vol32 markets
Brazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro77%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva24%
$185.3M vol32 markets
Next French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen46%
- Édouard Philippe18%
$152.3M vol128 markets
Netanyahu out by...?
- December 3139%
- May 310%
$124.6M vol6 markets
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
- Nicolás Maduro71%
- Delcy Rodríguez25%
$98.4M vol57 markets
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
- December 318%
- October 311%
$76.2M vol11 markets
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
- ↓ 60,000100%
- ↑ 85,000100%
$76M vol47 markets
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Yes16%
$74.4M vol1 market
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
- December 315%
- October 311%
$74M vol7 markets
Pro Football: 2027 Champion
- San Francisco 49ers13%
- Buffalo Bills12%
$67.6M vol33 markets
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
- Yes1%
$66.5M vol1 market
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)97%
- 1 (25 bps)1%
$54.4M vol13 markets
UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Other50%
- Team H50%
$53.9M vol42 markets
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
- Harry Kane65%
- Lamine Yamal28%
$51.9M vol89 markets
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot50%
- Benjamin Netanyahu29%
$47.1M vol28 markets
MLB World Series Champion 2026
- Milwaukee Brewers65%
- Cleveland Guardians20%
$45.2M vol31 markets
Fed Decision in October?
- No change87%
- 25 bps increase14%
$44.8M vol5 markets