Will Trump invoke the Taft-Hartley Act during his presidency?
- Before Jan 20, 202924%
$5K vol1 market
Prediction Markets
Explore what the market thinks will happen next.
What will be the 51st state in Trump's term?
- Cuba4%
- Puerto Rico2%
$1.9M vol8 markets
Will Trump add a 51st state to the US?
- Before 202914%
$86.6K vol1 market
Which Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump's term?
- Samuel Alito74%
- Clarence Thomas47%
$107.5K vol9 markets
What will the Supreme Court look like at the end of Trump's term?
- 6 Conservatives and 3 Liberals75%
- 7 Conservatives and 2 Liberals11%
$29.6K vol5 markets
Will the size of the Supreme Court be changed during Trump's Presidency?
- Before Jan 20, 20293%
$5.8K vol1 market
Will the Supreme Court hear a 3rd Amendment case before Trump's term ends?
- any 3rd Amendment case8%
$8.9K vol1 market
Will Trump recognize Somaliland?
- Before Jan 20, 202945%
- Before Jan 1, 20276%
$31.6K vol2 markets
Will Trump recognize Taiwan?
- Before Jan 20, 202910%
- Before 20271%
$38.7K vol2 markets
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of State?
- No other person60%
- Robert O'Brien16%
$5.5K vol5 markets
Who will leave office first: RFK Jr., Hegseth, or Patel?
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr.51%
- Pete Hegseth38%
$18.7K vol3 markets
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?
- No other person44%
- Joni Ernst9%
$39.4K vol17 markets
How many Supreme Court justices will the President confirm?
- 041%
- 235%
$214.8K vol10 markets
Will Trump approve a new city on federal land?
- Before Jan 20, 202933%
$5.7K vol1 market
Will Trump impose martial law before his term ends?
- Before Jan 20, 202929%
$84.1K vol1 market
Will Trump be held liable for January 6th in any court?
- Before his term ends25%
$8.4K vol1 market
Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act?
- Before Jan 20, 202942%
- Before Jan 1, 202713%
$596.4K vol2 markets
Will the independence of the judiciary be weakened during Trump's term?
- Before 202914%
$2.9K vol1 market
Will a cabinet member be impeached?
- Before Jan 20, 202965%
- Before Jan 1, 202865%
$104.8K vol3 markets
Will President Trump be impeached during his term?
- Before Jan 20, 202964%
$654.9K vol1 market
Will Trump suspend habeas corpus?
- Before Trump's term ends14%
$3.1K vol1 market
Will Trump expand the H-1B program?
- Before 202919%
$123.5K vol1 market
Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?
- Before January 20, 202915%
- Before 20273%
$5.1M vol2 markets
Will the U.S. enact a free trade agreement with China?
- Before 202919%
$71K vol1 market
Will the U.S. enact a free trade agreement?
- Before Jan 20, 202945%
$25.4K vol1 market
Will Trump make IVF free?
- Before 202914%
$37.5K vol1 market
Will Trump end the Federal Reserve?
- Before Jan 20, 20297%
$134.2K vol1 market
Will Trump abolish the Department of Education?
- Before Jan 20, 202917%
$164.6K vol1 market
Will a new Constitutional Amendment be added during Trump's term?
- During Trump's term9%
$40K vol1 market
Will Trump impose capital controls?
- Before 202922%
$6K vol1 market
Will Trump take back the Panama Canal?
- During Trump's term19%
$608.3K vol1 market
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr.19%
- Pete Hegseth15%
$234.7K vol21 markets
Will Section IV of the 25th Amendment be used during Trump's Presidency?
- Before Jan 20, 202923%
$189.1K vol1 market
Which agencies will Trump eliminate?
- USAID15%
- EPA13%
$200.1K vol4 markets
Will Obamacare be repealed before 2029?
- Before Jan 20, 202924%
$9K vol1 market
Will Israel and Syria normalize relations during Trump's term?
- Before Jan 20, 202912%
$39.2K vol1 market
Will Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations during Trump's term?
- During Trump's term31%
$91.5K vol1 market
Will Israel and Qatar normalize relations during Trump's term?
- Before Jan 20, 202910%
$16.9K vol1 market
West Virginia governor winner? (2028)
- Republican88%
- Democratic14%
$8.6K vol2 markets
Missouri governor winner? (2028)
- Republican95%
- Democratic8%
$7.9K vol2 markets
Indiana Governor winner? (2028)
- Republican88%
- Democratic12%
$1.9K vol2 markets
US unemployment rate at year-end 2028
- Above 6.0%46%
- Above 9.0%8%
$2.5K vol15 markets
US labor force participation rate at year-end 2028
- Above 56.00%98%
- Above 58.00%94%
$13.6K vol17 markets
New Hampshire Governor winner?
- Kelly Ayotte94%
- Cinde Warmington7%
$202.3K vol2 markets
2028 popular vote margin of victory?
- Democratic by 9.0% or more28%
- Democratic by 8.0% to 8.99%16%
$112K vol20 markets
RFK Jr. out as HHS Secretary?
- Before Jul 1, 202742%
- Before Jan 1, 202838%
$3.5K vol6 markets
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary?
- Before Apr 1, 202724%
- Before Jul 1, 20270%
$1 vol6 markets
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor?
- Before Jan 1, 202993%
- Before Jul 1, 202881%
$23.2K vol8 markets
Will SCOTUS end the White House ballroom injunction?
- Before Jan 1, 202950%
$5.4K vol1 market
How many people will serve as Prime Minister of the UK before 2029?
- Above 54%
- 51%
$2.5K vol6 markets
When will Canada gain EU associate status?
- Before 202914%
- Before 202811%
$6.5K vol2 markets
Will Apple win its case against OpenAI?
- Before 202952%
$14.5 vol1 market
Will Amazon win the FTC ad surcharge lawsuit?
- Before 202925%
$27.3 vol1 market
When will the U.S. have a Cabinet-level AI official?
- Before Jan 1, 202822%
- Before Jan 1, 202712%
$2.2K vol3 markets
2028 Electoral College margin of victory?
- Democratic by 91 to 13014%
- Democratic by 61 to 9012%
$7K vol14 markets
Fed funds rate at end of 2028
- Above 1.00%90%
- Above 1.75%85%
$4.1K vol21 markets
Will OpenAI or Anthropic announce recursive self-improvement?
- Before Jan 1, 202975%
- Before Jan 1, 202860%
$1.1K vol3 markets
Global remittances sent in 2026
- Above $500 billion80%
- Above $550 billion73%
$4K vol7 markets
Global remittances received in 2026
- Above $800 billion96%
- Above $950 billion61%
$10.8K vol8 markets
Will the average minimum temperature in Texas (DFW & IAH) fall below 20°F for at least 2 days within a 4-day span?
- Before 202968%
- Before 202836%
$382.9 vol3 markets
Indiana Senate winner? (2028)
- Republican party92%
- Democratic party15%
$2.5K vol2 markets
Vermont Governor Winner? (2028)
- Republican52%
- Democratic47%
$8.9K vol2 markets
Wisconsin Senate winner? (2028)
- Democratic party59%
- Republican party38%
$9.3K vol2 markets
Washington Senate winner? (2028)
- Democratic party95%
- Republican party4%
$3.8K vol2 markets
Vermont Senate winner? (2028)
- Democratic party96%
- Republican party4%
$6.7K vol2 markets
Utah Senate winner? (2028)
- Republican party85%
- Democratic party17%
$2.7K vol2 markets
South Dakota Senate winner? (2028)
- Republican party92%
- Democratic party7%
$741.2 vol2 markets
South Carolina Senate winner? (2028)
- Republican party84%
- Democratic party21%
$9.9K vol2 markets
Pennsylvania Senate winner? (2028)
- Democratic party72%
- Republican party27%
$8K vol3 markets
Oregon Senate winner? (2028)
- Democratic party88%
- Republican party9%
$1.3K vol2 markets
Oklahoma Senate winner? (2028)
- Republican party94%
- Democratic party1%
$1.9K vol2 markets
Ohio Senate winner? (2028)
- Republican party51%
- Democratic party48%
$30K vol2 markets
New York Senate winner? (2028)
- Democratic party96%
- Republican party3%
$2.1K vol2 markets
Nevada Senate winner? (2028)
- Democratic party63%
- Republican party39%
$2.6K vol2 markets
New Hampshire Senate winner? (2028)
- Democratic party91%
- Republican party9%
$962.5 vol2 markets
North Dakota Senate winner? (2028)
- Republican party87%
- Democratic party13%
$2.7K vol2 markets
North Carolina Senate winner? (2028)
- Democratic party67%
- Republican party35%
$18.2K vol2 markets
Missouri Senate winner? (2028)
- Republican party90%
- Democratic party14%
$1.7K vol2 markets
Maryland Senate winner? (2028)
- Democratic party96%
- Republican party3%
$1.8K vol2 markets
Louisiana Senate winner? (2028)
- Republican party89%
- Democratic party6%
$3.1K vol2 markets
Kansas Senate winner? (2028)
- Republican party77%
- Democratic party25%
$5.3K vol2 markets
Illinois Senate winner? (2028)
- Democratic party92%
- Republican party4%
$342.2 vol2 markets
Idaho Senate winner? (2028)
- Republican party87%
- Democratic party16%
$3.2K vol2 markets
Iowa Senate winner? (2028)
- Democratic party68%
- Republican party63%
$2.3K vol2 markets
Hawaii Senate winner? (2028)
- Democratic party86%
- Republican party10%
$6.7K vol2 markets
Georgia Senate winner? (2028)
- Democratic party70%
- Republican party17%
$2.3K vol2 markets
Florida Senate winner? (2028)
- Republican party80%
- Democratic party51%
$5.3K vol2 markets
Connecticut Senate winner? (2028)
- Democratic party96%
- Republican party4%
$2.2K vol2 markets
Colorado Senate winner? (2028)
- Democratic party94%
- Republican party8%
$311.5 vol2 markets
California Senate winner? (2028)
- Democratic party92%
- Republican party12%
$2K vol2 markets
Arizona Senate winner? (2028)
- Democratic party73%
- Republican party26%
$16.2K vol2 markets
Arkansas Senate winner? (2028)
- Republican party96%
- Democratic party12%
$1.3K vol2 markets
Alabama Senate winner? (2028)
- Republican party96%
- Democratic party4%
$264.1 vol2 markets
Alaska Senate winner? (2028)
- Republican party79%
- Democratic party30%
$3K vol2 markets
Utah governor winner? (2028)
- Republican party85%
- Democratic party14%
$3K vol2 markets
Montana governor winner? (2028)
- Republican91%
- Democratic17%
$3.5K vol2 markets
Euphoria: New season announcement date
- Before Jan 202931%
- Before Jan 202825%
$3.8K vol3 markets
Jannik Sinner to Complete Tennis by 2028
- Jannik Sinner to win every major tennis event by 202815%
$460.8 vol1 market
When will a reconciliation bill become law?
- Before Jul 1, 202834%
- Before Jan 1, 202833%
$1.5K vol6 markets
Will a date be announced for another Quebec Referendum before 2029?
- Before 202918%
$3.8K vol1 market
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%
- Gavin Newsom15%
$1.3B vol128 markets
Presidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance19%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
$714.9M vol128 markets
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr.49%
- J.D. Vance48%
$710.7M vol128 markets
F1 Drivers' Champion
- Kimi Antonelli96%
- Max Verstappen2%
$204M vol32 markets
Brazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro88%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva12%
$179.7M vol32 markets
Next French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen40%
- Édouard Philippe23%
$148.4M vol128 markets
Netanyahu out by...?
- December 3138%
- May 310%
$124.5M vol6 markets
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
- Nicolás Maduro72%
- Delcy Rodríguez25%
$98.2M vol57 markets
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
- December 317%
- October 311%
$75.7M vol11 markets
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
- ↓ 60,000100%
- ↑ 85,000100%
$74.6M vol47 markets
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Yes17%
$73.2M vol1 market
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
- December 313%
- October 311%
$72.5M vol7 markets
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
- Yes1%
$66.5M vol1 market
Pro Football: 2027 Champion
- Los Angeles Rams13%
- Buffalo Bills12%
$64.2M vol33 markets
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)96%
- 1 (25 bps)2%
$54M vol13 markets
UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Other50%
- Team H50%
$49.1M vol42 markets
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
- Harry Kane61%
- Lamine Yamal32%
$47.1M vol89 markets
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot42%
- Benjamin Netanyahu35%
$44.8M vol28 markets
MLB World Series Champion 2026
- Los Angeles Dodgers43%
- Milwaukee Brewers24%
$43.8M vol31 markets
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- Yes2%
$43.8M vol1 market