KalshiElections

Which countries will vote to leave the EU before 2030?

Before 2030

Ends Jan 1, 2030

Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

Italy4.6K VOL.
Yes 1%No 99%
1¢
Germany1.9K VOL.
Yes 13%No 87%
13¢
France9.7K VOL.
Yes 7%No 93%
7¢
Spain1.4K VOL.
Yes 5%No 96%
5¢
Poland2.5K VOL.
Yes 1%No 99%
1¢

Rules Summary

If Italy votes to leave the EU before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened: Feb 18, 2025, 3:00 PM
Closes: Jan 1, 2030, 3:00 PM
Pays out: 0.5 hours after close

Series KXEUEXITCOUNTRY · Event KXEUEXITCOUNTRY-30 · Market KXEUEXITCOUNTRY-30-ITA