Will the NPVIC reach 270 electoral votes?

Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Chance Over Time

OutcomeChanceTrade

Before 203432%Yes 32¢No 68¢
Before 203223%Yes 23¢No 77¢
Before 203012%Yes 12¢No 88¢
Before 20287%Yes 7¢No 93¢

$2.1K vol

Rules Summary

If states that have enacted the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact possess at least 270 electoral votes before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.