KalshiEconomics
US defaults before 2030?
Before 2030
Ends Jan 1, 2030
Bet NowProbability
- Defaults1 VOL.Yes 12%No 88%12¢
Rules Summary
If the U.S. Department of the Treasury announces that the United States Federal Government failed to make a scheduled payment on a Treasury note, bond, or bill; or that one of the three major credit ratings agencies designate any United States debt in any form of default, before 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
Timeline and Payout
- Opened
- Aug 19, 2026, 10:00 PM
- Closes
- Jan 1, 2030, 4:59 AM
- Pays out
- 1 hour after close
Series KXDEFAULT · Event KXDEFAULT-29DEC31 · Market KXDEFAULT-29DEC31

