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KalshiEconomics

US defaults before 2030?

Before 2030

Ends Jan 1, 2030

Bet Now

Probability

  • Defaults1 VOL.
    Yes 12%No 88%
    12¢

Rules Summary

If the U.S. Department of the Treasury announces that the United States Federal Government failed to make a scheduled payment on a Treasury note, bond, or bill; or that one of the three major credit ratings agencies designate any United States debt in any form of default, before 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
Aug 19, 2026, 10:00 PM
Closes
Jan 1, 2030, 4:59 AM
Pays out
1 hour after close

Series KXDEFAULT · Event KXDEFAULT-29DEC31 · Market KXDEFAULT-29DEC31