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US defaults before 2030?

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Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Chance Over Time
Outcome
  • Defaults12%Yes 12¢No 88¢
$1 vol

Rules Summary

If the U.S. Department of the Treasury announces that the United States Federal Government failed to make a scheduled payment on a Treasury note, bond, or bill; or that one of the three major credit ratings agencies designate any United States debt in any form of default, before 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Series KXDEFAULT · Event KXDEFAULT-29DEC31 · Market KXDEFAULT-29DEC31

OpenedAug 19, 2026, 10:00 PM
ClosesJan 1, 2030, 4:59 AM
Pays out1 hour after close

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