KalshiClimate and Weather
8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030?
Before 2030
Ends Jan 1, 2030
Bet NowDisclosure
18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.
Probability
- Before 203044.5K VOL.Yes 37%No 63%37¢
Rules Summary
If there is at least an earthquake of 8.0 magnitude with an epicenter in Japan or its territorial waters before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
Timeline and Payout
- Opened
- May 24, 2025, 2:00 PM
- Closes
- Jan 1, 2030, 4:59 AM
- Pays out
- 0.5 hours after close
Series KXEARTHQUAKEJAPAN · Event KXEARTHQUAKEJAPAN-30 · Market KXEARTHQUAKEJAPAN-30