KalshiElections
Will a ballot initiative on California secession qualify for a vote before 2030?
Before 2030
Ends Dec 22, 2029
Bet NowDisclosure
18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.
Probability
- Before 20301.7K VOL.Yes 19%No 81%19¢
Rules Summary
If the California Secretary of State officially certifies that at least one ballot initiative on California secession has qualified for the ballot before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
Timeline and Payout
- Opened
- Jun 12, 2025, 8:45 PM
- Closes
- Dec 22, 2029, 2:59 PM
- Pays out
- 0.5 hours after close
Series KXCASECESSION · Event KXCASECESSION-30 · Market KXCASECESSION-30