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KalshiScience and Technology

Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?

Before 2030

Ends Jan 1, 2030

Bet Now
Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • Before 203093.2K VOL.
    Yes 58%No 42%
    58¢

Rules Summary

If Blue Origin lands an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship as well as before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
Feb 21, 2025, 3:00 PM
Closes
Jan 1, 2030, 3:00 PM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXBLUESPACEX · Event KXBLUESPACEX-30 · Market KXBLUESPACEX-30