KalshiPolitics
Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?
Taiwan Travel Advisory
Ends Jul 1, 2026
Bet NowDisclosure
18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.
Probability
- Before Jul 1, 2026202.1K VOL.——
- Before Jan 1, 2027203.4K VOL.Yes 4%No 97%4¢
- Before Jan 1, 202838.2K VOL.Yes 18%No 82%18¢
- Before Jan 1, 202922.7K VOL.Yes 27%No 73%27¢
- Before Jan 1, 203021.8K VOL.Yes 38%No 62%38¢
Rules Summary
If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Timeline and Payout
- Opened
- Jan 7, 2026, 3:00 PM
- Closes
- Jul 1, 2026, 3:59 AM
- Pays out
- 0.5 hours after close
Series KXTAIWANLVL4 · Event KXTAIWANLVL4 · Market KXTAIWANLVL4-26JUL01