Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?

Disclosure

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Chance Over Time

OutcomeChanceTrade

Before Jan 1, 203039%Yes 39¢No 61¢
Before Jan 1, 202923%Yes 23¢No 77¢
Before Jan 1, 202817%Yes 17¢No 83¢
Before Jan 1, 20272%Yes 2¢No 99¢

$294.9K vol

Rules Summary

If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.