Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?

Disclosure

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Chance Over Time

OutcomeChanceTrade

Before Jan 1, 203044%Yes 44¢No 56¢
Before Jan 1, 202928%Yes 28¢No 72¢
Before Jan 1, 202820%Yes 20¢No 80¢
Before Jan 1, 20272%Yes 2¢No 98¢

$301K vol

Rules Summary

If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.