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KalshiElections

Next German federal election winner?

in 2029

Ends Mar 25, 2030

Bet Now
Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • AfD11.6K VOL.
    Yes 86%No 14%
    86¢
  • SPD9.5K VOL.
    Yes 4%No 96%
    4¢
  • CDU/CSU1K VOL.
    Yes 9%No 91%
    9¢
  • Greens9.6K VOL.
    Yes 3%No 97%
    3¢
  • The Left11.2K VOL.
    Yes 1%No 99%
    1¢

Rules Summary

If AfD wins the next election to the German Bundestag, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 4:23 PM
Closes
Mar 25, 2030, 2:00 PM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXGERELECTION · Event KXGERELECTION-29MAR25 · Market KXGERELECTION-29MAR25-AFD