KalshiPolitics
Will SCOTUS recognize a right to possess AR-15-style rifles?
Before 2030
Ends Jan 1, 2030
Bet NowDisclosure
18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.
Probability
- Before Jan 1, 20305.1K VOL.Yes 85%No 15%85¢
Rules Summary
If the Supreme Court, in Viramontes v. Cook County and Grant v. Higgins, rules the Second and Fourteenth Amendments guarantee a right to possess AR-15-platform and similar semiautomatic rifles, then the market resolves to Yes.
Timeline and Payout
- Opened
- Jun 30, 2026, 9:45 PM
- Closes
- Jan 1, 2030, 3:00 PM
- Pays out
- 0.5 hours after close
Series KXSCOTUSAR15 · Event KXSCOTUSAR15-30JAN · Market KXSCOTUSAR15-30JAN