KalshiPolitics
Will China obtain an EUV machine?
Before Jan 1, 2030
Ends Jan 1, 2027
Bet NowDisclosure
18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.
Probability
- Before Jan 1, 2027881.2 VOL.Yes 11%No 89%11¢
- Before Jan 1, 2028190.3 VOL.Yes 36%No 64%36¢
- Before Jan 1, 2029750.9 VOL.Yes 58%No 42%58¢
- Before Jan 1, 203043.9 VOL.Yes 68%No 32%68¢
Rules Summary
If China obtains or develops a functional extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machine that capable of patterning semiconductor wafers in a fabrication facility is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Timeline and Payout
- Opened
- Jul 13, 2026, 5:30 PM
- Closes
- Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM
- Pays out
- 0.5 hours after close
Series KXCHINAEUV · Event KXCHINAEUV-30 · Market KXCHINAEUV-30-27JAN01