Will China obtain an EUV machine?

Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Chance Over Time

OutcomeChanceTrade

Before Jan 1, 203075%Yes 75¢No 25¢
Before Jan 1, 202958%Yes 58¢No 42¢
Before Jan 1, 202828%Yes 28¢No 72¢
Before Jan 1, 20276%Yes 6¢No 94¢

$2K vol

Rules Summary

If China obtains or develops a functional extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machine that capable of patterning semiconductor wafers in a fabrication facility is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.