KalshiBefore the next general…
Will Alberta vote to secede from Canada?
- Before the next general election12%
- Total Volume
- 98.9K
- Ends
- Oct 15, 2029
Prediction Markets
Elections
KalshiBefore Sep 23, 2029
Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?
- Pauline Hanson22%
- Jim Chalmers8%
- Richard Marles8%
- Andrew Hastie8%
- Total Volume
- 525.1
- Ends
- Sep 23, 2029
KalshiIn the next U.K. electio…
Which party will win the next UK general election?
- Reform party35%
- Labour party33%
- Conservative party27%
- Restore Britain party5%
- Total Volume
- 249.8K
- Ends
- Aug 31, 2029
KalshiBefore Apr 6, 2029
Will Mamdani run for re-election?
- Yes79%
- Total Volume
- 1.1K
- Ends
- Apr 6, 2029
KalshiBefore Feb 1, 2029
Prior offices of the President inaugurated in 2029?
- Cabinet Secretary0%
- Governor0%
- Mayor0%
- President0%
- Total Volume
- 0
- Ends
- Feb 1, 2029
KalshiIn 2029
2028: Who will win the Presidency, House, and Senate?
- Democratic Sweep50%
- Republican Sweep18%
- D-House, R-Senate, R-President15%
- D-House, R-Senate, D-President10%
- Total Volume
- 381.6K
- Ends
- Nov 7, 2029
KalshiOn Feb 1, 2029
Democratic Senate Seat Count (2028)
- Below 4514%
- 5214%
- 5410%
- 469%
- Total Volume
- 3.1K
- Ends
- Feb 1, 2029
KalshiIn 2028
2028 Senate winner
- Democratic party57%
- Republican party46%
- Total Volume
- 3.9K
- Ends
- Feb 1, 2029
KalshiIn 2028
2028 House winner
- Democratic party74%
- Republican party28%
- Total Volume
- 17.3K
- Ends
- Feb 1, 2029
KalshiBefore 2029
Will Trump be allowed to run for a 3rd term?
- Before Jan 1, 20297%
- Total Volume
- 308.6K
- Ends
- Jan 1, 2029
KalshiIn 2028
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- J.D. Vance22%
- Marco Rubio12%
- Jon Ossoff12%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez9%
- Total Volume
- 65M
- Ends
- Nov 7, 2029
KalshiIn 2028
2028 Presidential Election winner? (Party)
- Democratic party58%
- Republican party42%
- Total Volume
- 559.4K
- Ends
- Nov 7, 2029
KalshiIn 2028
Delaware governor winner? (2028)
- Democratic party92%
- Republican party10%
- Total Volume
- 168.5
- Ends
- Nov 7, 2029
KalshiBefore Jan 20, 2029
Will Trump impose term limits on Congress?
- Before 20297%
- Total Volume
- 8.4K
- Ends
- Jan 20, 2029
KalshiDuring Trump's term
Will Trump impose capital controls?
- Before 202922%
- Total Volume
- 6K
- Ends
- Jan 20, 2029
KalshiIn 2028
West Virginia governor winner? (2028)
- Republican87%
- Democratic9%
- Total Volume
- 8.6K
- Ends
- Nov 7, 2029
KalshiIn 2028
Missouri governor winner? (2028)
- Republican92%
- Democratic8%
- Total Volume
- 7.9K
- Ends
- Nov 7, 2029
KalshiIn 2028
Indiana Governor winner? (2028)
- Republican88%
- Democratic12%
- Total Volume
- 1.9K
- Ends
- Nov 7, 2029
KalshiIn 2026
New Hampshire Governor winner?
- Kelly Ayotte88%
- Cinde Warmington16%
- Total Volume
- 28.8K
- Ends
- Nov 7, 2029
KalshiNov 7, 2028
2028 popular vote margin of victory?
- Democratic by 9.0% or more22%
- Democratic by 8.0% to 8.99%9%
- Republican by 9.0% or more9%
- Democratic by 7.0% to 7.99%8%
- Total Volume
- 82.2K
- Ends
- May 6, 2029
KalshiIn 2028
Indiana Senate winner? (2028)
- Republican party58%
- Democratic party3%
- Total Volume
- 2.4K
- Ends
- Nov 7, 2029
KalshiIn 2028
Vermont Governor Winner? (2028)
- Republican52%
- Democratic47%
- Total Volume
- 8.9K
- Ends
- Nov 7, 2029
KalshiIn 2028
Wisconsin Senate winner? (2028)
- Democratic party64%
- Republican party37%
- Total Volume
- 9.1K
- Ends
- Nov 7, 2029
KalshiIn 2028
Washington Senate winner? (2028)
- Democratic party95%
- Republican party5%
- Total Volume
- 3.8K
- Ends
- Nov 7, 2029
KalshiIn 2028
Vermont Senate winner? (2028)
- Democratic party97%
- Republican party4%
- Total Volume
- 6.7K
- Ends
- Nov 7, 2029
KalshiIn 2028
Utah Senate winner? (2028)
- Republican party93%
- Democratic party14%
- Total Volume
- 2.7K
- Ends
- Nov 7, 2029
KalshiIn 2028
South Dakota Senate winner? (2028)
- Republican party96%
- Democratic party7%
- Total Volume
- 683
- Ends
- Nov 7, 2029
Economics
KalshiIn Q4 2028
Will Trump bring back manufacturing?
- Before 202914%
- Total Volume
- 25.9K
- Ends
- Jun 30, 2029
KalshiBefore 2029
How much government spending will Trump cut before his term ends?
- At least $1 billion13%
- At least 100 billion12%
- At least 150 billion11%
- At least 200 billion11%
- Total Volume
- 88.4K
- Ends
- Mar 31, 2029
Kalshi2028
US real GDP growth in 2028?
- 2.1% to 2.5%13%
- 2.6% to 3.0%12%
- 1.6% to 2.0%11%
- 0.1% to 0.5%9%
- Total Volume
- 43.4K
- Ends
- Feb 28, 2029
KalshiDecember 2028
US headline CPI inflation in December 2028
- Above 0.0%94%
- Above 0.5%92%
- Above 2.0%72%
- Above 1.5%70%
- Total Volume
- 8.1K
- Ends
- Feb 1, 2029
Kalshi2028
US nominal GDP growth in 2028
- Above 0.5%89%
- Above 1.0%86%
- Above 0.0%83%
- Above 2.5%78%
- Total Volume
- 14.2
- Ends
- Jan 28, 2029
KalshiDuring the Trump Preside…
Will there be a Trump economic boom?
- Above 5%26%
- Total Volume
- 177.7K
- Ends
- Jan 26, 2029
KalshiDecember 31, 2028
Fed funds rate at end of 2028
- Above 1.00%90%
- Above 1.75%85%
- Above 1.50%82%
- Above 1.25%79%
- Total Volume
- 4K
- Ends
- Jan 1, 2029
Politics
KalshiEnding Jun 4, 2029
Will South Korean President Lee Jae-myung serve their full term?
- Yes50%
- Total Volume
- 22.3K
- Ends
- Jun 4, 2029
Kalshibefore Jan 1, 2029
How many N.Y.C. Groceries stores will open before 2029?
- At least 30%
- At least 40%
- At least 50%
- At least 10%
- Total Volume
- 0
- Ends
- Jan 1, 2029
KalshiBefore 2029
Peak US National Debt Under Trump Administration
- $40 trillion100%
- $42.5 trillion98%
- $45 trillion88%
- $47.5 trillion63%
- Total Volume
- 113.2K
- Ends
- Mar 31, 2029
KalshiTrump's second term
How many executive orders will Trump sign in his second term?
- Between 400 and 44919%
- Between 450 and 49915%
- Between 350 and 39915%
- Between 500 and 5499%
- Total Volume
- 60.9K
- Ends
- Jan 21, 2029
KalshiDuring Trump's term
Will Trump make a recess appointment?
- Before Jan 1, 20287%
- Before Jan 1, 20270%
- Before Jan 21, 20290%
- Total Volume
- 8
- Ends
- Jan 1, 2027
KalshiBefore Jan 21, 2029
Which cryptocurrencies will the Treasury purchase during Trump's term?
- Bitcoin22%
- XRP14%
- Solana0%
- Cardano0%
- Total Volume
- 1.5K
- Ends
- Jan 21, 2029
KalshiDuring Trump's term
How much will the US acquire Greenland for?
- $0 / No Acquisition84%
- $10 billion to $99 billion5%
- $300 billion to $599 billion4%
- $1 billion to $9 billion3%
- Total Volume
- 1.7M
- Ends
- Jan 22, 2029
KalshiBy 2029
Will the US acquire any new territory?
- Before Jan 21, 202920%
- Before Jan 202816%
- Before Jan 20274%
- Total Volume
- 336.8K
- Ends
- Jan 1, 2027
KalshiBefore his term ends
Will Trump resign during his term?
- Before his term ends22%
- Total Volume
- 391.8K
- Ends
- Jan 21, 2029
KalshiBefore Jan 21, 2029
Who will Trump pardon?
- Donald Trump Jr.61%
- Donald Trump51%
- Barron Trump50%
- Eric Trump49%
- Total Volume
- 407.8K
- Ends
- Jan 21, 2029
KalshiBy January 20, 2029
Who will be the next Supreme Court justice?
- Andrew Oldham21%
- Aileen Cannon12%
- James Ho10%
- Michael Park9%
- Total Volume
- 707.5K
- Ends
- Jan 21, 2029
KalshiBefore Jan 21, 2029
Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
- Anna Kelly25%
- Scott Jennings18%
- Alina Habba5%
- Elizabeth Pipko5%
- Total Volume
- 3.9M
- Ends
- Jan 21, 2029
KalshiBefore his term ends
Will Trump add himself to Mt. Rushmore?
- Before 202913%
- Total Volume
- 22K
- Ends
- Jan 21, 2029
KalshiDuring Trump's term
Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?
- Before January 21, 202922%
- Before 20275%
- Total Volume
- 3.3M
- Ends
- Jan 1, 2027
KalshiDuring Trump's term
Will the US take control of any part of Canada?
- Before 202914%
- Total Volume
- 144K
- Ends
- Jan 21, 2029
KalshiBefore Jan 20, 2029
Will Zelenskyy and Putin speak?
- Before Jan 20, 202935%
- Before 202711%
- Total Volume
- 214.8K
- Ends
- Jan 1, 2027
KalshiBefore Jan 20, 2029
What will the U.S. withdraw from during the Trump Administration?
- World Trade Organization29%
- OECD25%
- United Nations18%
- World Bank Group16%
- Total Volume
- 20.4K
- Ends
- Jan 20, 2029
KalshiBefore Jan 20, 2029
Will Congress override Trump's veto?
- Before Jan 20, 202942%
- Before 20275%
- Before Aug 1, 20261%
- Total Volume
- 31.1K
- Ends
- Aug 1, 2026
KalshiDuring Trump's term
Will Kim Jong-Un visit the US during Trump's term?
- During Trump's term15%
- Total Volume
- 13.9K
- Ends
- Jan 20, 2029
KalshiBefore Jan 20, 2029
Will Trump go on SNL during his second term?
- Before 202913%
- Total Volume
- 22.6K
- Ends
- Jan 20, 2029
KalshiBefore his term ends
Will Trump be impeached and removed from office?
- Before his term ends15%
- Total Volume
- 671.8K
- Ends
- Jan 20, 2029
KalshiBefore Jan 20, 2029
Will the Trump family be pardoned?
- Yes70%
- Total Volume
- 20.9K
- Ends
- Jan 20, 2029
KalshiBefore Jan 20, 2029
How many Attorneys General will Trump have?
- 256%
- 327%
- 56%
- 46%
- Total Volume
- 21.9K
- Ends
- Jan 20, 2029
KalshiBefore Jan 20, 2029
Will Trump invoke the Taft-Hartley Act during his presidency?
- Before Jan 20, 202933%
- Total Volume
- 5K
- Ends
- Jan 20, 2029
KalshiDuring Trump's term
What will be the 51st state in Trump's term?
- Venezuela2%
- Cuba2%
- Greenland2%
- Canada1%
- Total Volume
- 1.8M
- Ends
- Jan 20, 2029
KalshiBefore Trump's term ends
Will Trump add a 51st state to the US?
- Before 20298%
- Total Volume
- 85.5K
- Ends
- Jan 20, 2029
KalshiDuring Trump's term
Which Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump's term?
- Samuel Alito64%
- Clarence Thomas48%
- John Roberts24%
- Amy Coney Barrett12%
- Total Volume
- 104.5K
- Ends
- Jan 20, 2029
KalshiOn Jan 20, 2029
What will the Supreme Court look like at the end of Trump's term?
- 6 Conservatives and 3 Liberals76%
- 7 Conservatives and 2 Liberals16%
- Not nine justices7%
- 8 Conservatives and 1 Liberals2%
- Total Volume
- 29.1K
- Ends
- Jan 20, 2029
KalshiBefore Jan 20, 2029
Will the size of the Supreme Court be changed during Trump's Presidency?
- Before Jan 20, 20293%
- Total Volume
- 5.3K
- Ends
- Jan 20, 2029
KalshiBefore Jan 2029
Will the Supreme Court hear a 3rd Amendment case before Trump's term ends?
- any 3rd Amendment case10%
- Total Volume
- 8.6K
- Ends
- Jan 20, 2029
KalshiDuring Trump's term
Will Trump recognize Somaliland?
- Before Jan 20, 202950%
- Before 202715%
- Total Volume
- 30.1K
- Ends
- Jan 1, 2027
KalshiDuring Trump's term
Will Trump recognize Taiwan?
- Before Jan 20, 202916%
- Before 20271%
- Total Volume
- 36.9K
- Ends
- Jan 1, 2027
KalshiNext Secretary of State
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of State?
- No other person55%
- Robert O'Brien16%
- Ric Grenell15%
- Bill Hagerty4%
- Total Volume
- 5.3K
- Ends
- Jan 20, 2029
KalshiBefore January 20th, 202…
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Labor?
- Keith Sonderling84%
- Bryan Slater4%
- Andrew Puzder4%
- Ron DeSantis2%
- Total Volume
- 83.6K
- Ends
- Jan 20, 2029
KalshiNext Secretary of Defens…
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?
- No other person59%
- Dan Driscoll12%
- Ron DeSantis9%
- Joni Ernst9%
- Total Volume
- 34.2K
- Ends
- Jan 20, 2029
KalshiDuring the 2025-2029 ter…
How many Supreme Court justices will the President confirm?
- 032%
- 230%
- 130%
- 33%
- Total Volume
- 210.5K
- Ends
- Jan 20, 2029
KalshiDuring Trump's term
Will Trump approve a new city on federal land?
- Before 202940%
- Total Volume
- 5.7K
- Ends
- Jan 20, 2029
KalshiBefore Jan 20, 2029
Will Trump impose martial law before his term ends?
- Before Jan 20, 202927%
- Total Volume
- 53.9K
- Ends
- Jan 20, 2029
KalshiBefore his term ends
Will Trump be held liable for January 6th in any court?
- Before his term ends30%
- Total Volume
- 7.5K
- Ends
- Jan 20, 2029
KalshiBefore Jan 20, 2029
Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act?
- Before Jan 20, 202942%
- Before 202716%
- Total Volume
- 557K
- Ends
- Jan 1, 2027
KalshiBefore 2029
Will the independence of the judiciary be weakened during Trump's term?
- Before 202913%
- Total Volume
- 2.9K
- Ends
- Jan 20, 2029
KalshiBefore 2029
Will a cabinet member be impeached?
- Before 202875%
- Before Jan 20, 202970%
- Before 20276%
- Total Volume
- 91.3K
- Ends
- Jan 1, 2027
KalshiBefore Jan 20, 2029
Will President Trump be impeached during his term?
- Before Jan 20, 202964%
- Total Volume
- 550.3K
- Ends
- Jan 20, 2029
KalshiBefore Trump's term ends
Will Trump suspend habeas corpus?
- Before Trump's term ends13%
- Total Volume
- 3.1K
- Ends
- Jan 20, 2029
KalshiDuring Trump's term
Will Trump expand the H-1B program?
- Before 202922%
- Total Volume
- 122.9K
- Ends
- Jan 20, 2029
KalshiDuring his term
Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?
- Before January 20, 202920%
- Before 20274%
- Total Volume
- 5M
- Ends
- Jan 1, 2027
KalshiDuring his term
Will the U.S. enact a free trade agreement with China?
- Before 202915%
- Total Volume
- 68.8K
- Ends
- Jan 20, 2029
KalshiDuring his term
Will the U.S. enact a free trade agreement?
- Before 202932%
- Total Volume
- 25.3K
- Ends
- Jan 20, 2029
KalshiDuring Trump's term
Will Trump end the Federal Reserve?
- Before Jan 20, 20298%
- Total Volume
- 131.8K
- Ends
- Jan 20, 2029
KalshiDuring Trump's term
Will Trump abolish the Department of Education?
- Before Jan 20, 202914%
- Total Volume
- 162.1K
- Ends
- Jan 20, 2029
KalshiDuring Trump's term
Will a new Constitutional Amendment be added during Trump's term?
- During Trump's term9%
- Total Volume
- 39.3K
- Ends
- Jan 20, 2029
KalshiDuring Trump's term
Will Trump take back the Panama Canal?
- During Trump's term27%
- Total Volume
- 590.2K
- Ends
- Jan 20, 2029
KalshiDuring Trump's term
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?
- Pete Hegseth21%
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr.18%
- Brooke Rollins15%
- Howard Lutnick15%
- Total Volume
- 182.4K
- Ends
- Jan 20, 2029
KalshiDuring Trump's term
Will Section IV of the 25th Amendment be used during Trump's Presidency?
- Before 202925%
- Total Volume
- 178.1K
- Ends
- Jan 20, 2029
KalshiDuring Trump's term
Which agencies will Trump eliminate?
- USAID26%
- EPA12%
- IRS6%
- NASA5%
- Total Volume
- 197.8K
- Ends
- Jan 20, 2029
KalshiBefore 2029
Will Obamacare be repealed before 2029?
- Before Jan 20, 202918%
- Total Volume
- 8.8K
- Ends
- Jan 20, 2029
KalshiBefore Trump's term ends
Will Israel and Syria normalize relations during Trump's term?
- Before Jan 20, 202922%
- Total Volume
- 38.5K
- Ends
- Jan 20, 2029
KalshiBefore Jan 20, 2029
Will Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations during Trump's term?
- During Trump's term25%
- Total Volume
- 73.5K
- Ends
- Jan 20, 2029
KalshiBefore Jan 20, 2029
Will Israel and Qatar normalize relations during Trump's term?
- Before Jan 20, 202917%
- Total Volume
- 16.4K
- Ends
- Jan 20, 2029
KalshiBefore 2029
Will SCOTUS end the White House ballroom injunction?
- Before Jan 1, 202952%
- Total Volume
- 4.3K
- Ends
- Jan 1, 2029
Kalshiafter Issuance and befor…
How many people will serve as Prime Minister of the UK before 2029?
- Above 54%
- 51%
- 10%
- 20%
- Total Volume
- 2.5K
- Ends
- Jan 8, 2029
KalshiNov 7, 2028
2028 Electoral College margin of victory?
- Democratic by 91 to 13014%
- Democratic by 61 to 9013%
- Democratic by 31 to 6012%
- Democratic by 11 to 3011%
- Total Volume
- 6.7K
- Ends
- May 6, 2029
Sports
Kalshinew Aloha Stadium - Apr…
Will University of Hawaii complete the New Aloha Stadium before Apr 1, 2029?
- Before Apr 1, 202934%
- Total Volume
- 10
- Ends
- Apr 1, 2029
Financials
Kalshieach of OpenAI and Anthr…
Will the U.S. take at least 1% stakes in both OpenAI and Anthropic?
- Before Jan 20, 202954%
- Before Jan 1, 202841%
- Before Jan 1, 202719%
- Total Volume
- 431.2
- Ends
- Jan 1, 2027
Health
KalshiBefore his term ends
Will Trump make IVF free?
- Before 202917%
- Total Volume
- 35.9K
- Ends
- Jan 20, 2029
Climate and Weather
KalshiBefore 2029
Will the average minimum temperature in Texas (DFW & IAH) fall below 20°F for at least 2 days within a 4-day span?
- Before 202960%
- Before 202845%
- Before 202715%
- Total Volume
- 115
- Ends
- Jan 1, 2027