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KalshiEconomics

Will Trump bring back manufacturing?

In Q4 2028

Ends Jun 30, 2029

Bet Now
Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • Before 202924.9K VOL.

Rules Summary

If the value added by Manufacturing to GDP in Q4 2028 is at least 13.1% (the value it was in Q1 2005), then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
Jun 5, 2025, 6:00 PM
Closes
Jun 30, 2029, 3:59 AM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXGDPSHAREMANU · Event KXGDPSHAREMANU-29 · Market KXGDPSHAREMANU-29