KalshiPolitics
Will Trump recognize Taiwan?
During Trump's term
Ends Jan 1, 2027
Bet NowDisclosure
18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.
Probability
- Before 20277.4K VOL.Yes 1%No 99%1¢
- Before Jan 20, 202929.5K VOL.Yes 16%No 84%16¢
Rules Summary
If the United States explicitly and formally recognizes the Republic of China as a sovereign state independent from any previously recognized country after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, the market resolves to Yes.
Timeline and Payout
- Opened
- May 11, 2026, 4:00 PM
- Closes
- Jan 1, 2027, 3:00 PM
- Pays out
- 0.5 hours after close
Series KXRECOGROC · Event KXRECOGROC-29 · Market KXRECOGROC-29-27