KalshiFinancials
Will the U.S. take at least 1% stakes in both OpenAI and Anthropic?
each of OpenAI and Anthropic (including any successor or parent substantially owning its AI business)
Ends Jan 1, 2027
Bet NowDisclosure
18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.
Probability
- Before Jan 1, 2027268.8 VOL.Yes 19%No 81%19¢
- Before Jan 1, 2028157.4 VOL.Yes 41%No 59%41¢
- Before Jan 20, 20295 VOL.Yes 54%No 46%54¢
Rules Summary
If the U.S. federal government has taken a stake of at least 1% in each of OpenAI and Anthropic (including any successor or parent substantially owning its AI business) before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Timeline and Payout
- Opened
- Jul 9, 2026, 12:00 AM
- Closes
- Jan 1, 2027, 2:59 PM
- Pays out
- 0.5 hours after close
Series KXUSOPENAIANTH · Event KXUSOPENAIANTH-29JAN29 · Market KXUSOPENAIANTH-29JAN29-27JAN01