KalshiEconomics
How much government spending will Trump cut before his term ends?
Before 2029
Ends Mar 31, 2029
Bet NowDisclosure
18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.
Probability
- At least $1 billion84.7 VOL.——
- At least 50 billion548 VOL.——
- At least 100 billion75.4 VOL.——
- At least 150 billion13 VOL.——
- At least 200 billion586.2 VOL.——
Rules Summary
If government spending (FGEXPND) is at least $1 billion below the Q4 2024 level in any quarter through Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Timeline and Payout
- Opened
- Aug 14, 2026, 2:30 PM
- Closes
- Mar 31, 2029, 3:00 PM
- Pays out
- 0.5 hours after close
Series KXGOVTCUTS · Event KXGOVTCUTS-28 · Market KXGOVTCUTS-28-1