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How much government spending will Trump cut before his term ends?

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Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Chance Over Time
Outcome
  • At least 100 billion14%Yes 14¢No 86¢
  • At least 150 billion14%Yes 14¢No 86¢
  • At least $1 billion8%Yes 8¢No 92¢
  • At least 50 billion8%Yes 8¢No 92¢
  • At least 500 billion7%Yes 7¢No 93¢
$92.2K vol

Rules Summary

If government spending (FGEXPND) is at least $1 billion below the Q4 2024 level in any quarter through Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Series KXGOVTCUTS · Event KXGOVTCUTS-28 · Market KXGOVTCUTS-28-1

OpenedAug 14, 2026, 2:30 PM
ClosesMar 31, 2029, 3:00 PM
Pays out0.5 hours after close

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