KalshiPolitics

Who will Trump pardon?

Before Jan 21, 2029

Ends Jan 21, 2029

Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

Robin Smith3.2K VOL.
Yes 33%No 67%
33¢
Larry Householder8.2K VOL.
Yes 24%No 76%
24¢
Matt Borges1.5K VOL.
Yes 19%No 81%
19¢
Joseph Maldonado886.5 VOL.
Yes 22%No 78%
22¢
Torence Hatch8.6K VOL.
Yes 40%No 60%
40¢

Rules Summary

If Robin Smith has been given a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during Trump's second term and before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened: Nov 18, 2025, 3:00 PM
Closes: Jan 21, 2029, 3:00 PM
Pays out: 0.08 hours after close

Series KXTRUMPPARDONS · Event KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21 · Market KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-RSMI