KalshiPolitics

2028 Electoral College margin of victory?

Nov 7, 2028

Ends May 6, 2029

Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Democratic by 211 or more1.7K VOL.
—
—
Democratic by 131 to 210345.8 VOL.
—
—
Democratic by 91 to 1301.1K VOL.
—
—
Democratic by 61 to 90378.8 VOL.
—
—
Democratic by 31 to 60151 VOL.
—
—

Rules Summary

If Democratic wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 211-538 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened: May 15, 2026, 2:00 PM
Closes: May 6, 2029, 3:00 PM
Pays out: 0 hours after close

Series ECMOV · Event ECMOV-28NOV07 · Market ECMOV-28NOV07-DEM211T538