KalshiPolitics
Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act?
Before Jan 20, 2029
Ends Jan 1, 2027
Bet NowDisclosure
18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.
Probability
- Before 2027337.4K VOL.Yes 16%No 84%16¢
- Before Jan 20, 2029219.7K VOL.Yes 42%No 58%42¢
Rules Summary
If the President of the United States has invoked the Insurrection Act to deploy the United States military and/or the federalized National Guard within the United States before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Timeline and Payout
- Opened
- Jan 3, 2026, 3:00 PM
- Closes
- Jan 1, 2027, 3:00 PM
- Pays out
- 0.5 hours after close
Series KXINSURRECTION · Event KXINSURRECTION-29 · Market KXINSURRECTION-29-27