KalshiPolitics
Will Trump recognize Somaliland?
During Trump's term
Ends Jan 1, 2027
Bet NowDisclosure
18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.
Probability
- Before 202712.5K VOL.Yes 15%No 85%15¢
- Before Jan 20, 202917.6K VOL.Yes 50%No 50%50¢
Rules Summary
If the United States explicitly and formally recognizes Somaliland as a sovereign state independent from any previously recognized country after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, the market resolves to Yes.
Timeline and Payout
- Opened
- Jan 14, 2026, 10:00 PM
- Closes
- Jan 1, 2027, 3:00 PM
- Pays out
- 0.5 hours after close
Series KXRECOGSOMALI · Event KXRECOGSOMALI-29 · Market KXRECOGSOMALI-29-27