KalshiPolitics

Which Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump's term?

During Trump's term

Ends Jan 20, 2029

Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

Sonia Sotomayor11.4K VOL.
Yes 11%No 89%
11¢
Clarence Thomas35.9K VOL.
Yes 48%No 52%
48¢
Samuel Alito49.5K VOL.
Yes 64%No 36%
64¢
John Roberts6.3K VOL.
Yes 24%No 76%
24¢
Elena Kagan9 VOL.
Yes 5%No 95%
5¢

Rules Summary

If Sonia Sotomayor resigns or announces their intent to resign from the Supreme Court before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened: Dec 21, 2024, 3:00 PM
Closes: Jan 20, 2029, 3:00 PM
Pays out: 0.5 hours after close

Series KXSCOTUSRESIGN · Event KXSCOTUSRESIGN-29 · Market KXSCOTUSRESIGN-29-SS