KalshiBefore 2028
Will SCOTUS let people seek green cards after their asylum is terminated?
- Before Aug 1, 202828%
- Total Volume
- 216.4
- Ends
- Aug 1, 2028
Prediction Markets
Politics
KalshiBefore 2028
Will SCOTUS reject narrow Free Exercise tests for Catholic preschools?
- Before Aug 1, 202873%
- Total Volume
- 617.3
- Ends
- Aug 1, 2028
KalshiBefore 2028
Will SCOTUS count subscribers to a video provider’s non-video offerings as VPPA consumers?
- Before Aug 1, 202844%
- Total Volume
- 4.4
- Ends
- Aug 1, 2028
KalshiBefore 2028
Will SCOTUS allow Arizona’s citizenship-proof and pre-election noncitizen-removal rules?
- Before Aug 1, 202869%
- Total Volume
- 63.2
- Ends
- Aug 1, 2028
KalshiBefore 2028
Will SCOTUS treat trademark strength as a factual question?
- Before Aug 1, 202869%
- Total Volume
- 634
- Ends
- Aug 1, 2028
KalshiBefore 2028
Will SCOTUS bar Watanabe’s Bivens medical-care claim?
- Before Aug 1, 202878%
- Total Volume
- 431.9
- Ends
- Aug 1, 2028
KalshiBefore 2028
Will SCOTUS hold that EAJA covers immigration-detention habeas actions?
- Before Aug 1, 202861%
- Total Volume
- 200
- Ends
- Aug 1, 2028
KalshiBefore 2028
Will SCOTUS allow First Step Act halfway-house claims under §2241?
- Before Aug 1, 202866%
- Total Volume
- 600
- Ends
- Aug 1, 2028
KalshiBefore 2028
Will SCOTUS require 12-person juries for serious felonies?
- Before Aug 1, 202878%
- Total Volume
- 1.4K
- Ends
- Aug 1, 2028
KalshiBefore 2028
Will SCOTUS require courts to consider a defendant’s specific wrongdoing in excessive-fines cases?
- Before Aug 1, 202876%
- Total Volume
- 0.2
- Ends
- Aug 1, 2028
KalshiBefore 2028
Will SCOTUS let district courts hear constitutional challenges to veterans-benefits laws?
- Before Aug 1, 202874%
- Total Volume
- 171.3
- Ends
- Aug 1, 2028
KalshiBefore 2028
Will SCOTUS let parents challenge laws that displace them from their children’s gender-transition decisions?
- Before Aug 1, 202894%
- Total Volume
- 4.2
- Ends
- Aug 1, 2028
KalshiBefore 2028
Will SCOTUS require state-law compensation in private natural-gas condemnations?
- Before Aug 1, 202854%
- Total Volume
- 458.9
- Ends
- Aug 1, 2028
KalshiBefore 2028
Will SCOTUS bar successive habeas claims that could have been raised earlier?
- Before Aug 1, 20280%
- Total Volume
- 0
- Ends
- Aug 1, 2028
KalshiBefore 2028
Will SCOTUS allow religious chilling-effect claims without a final land-use decision?
- Before Aug 1, 202885%
- Total Volume
- 820.5
- Ends
- Aug 1, 2028
KalshiBefore 2028
Will SCOTUS require bond hearings for prolonged mandatory immigration detention?
- Before Aug 1, 202856%
- Total Volume
- 310.9
- Ends
- Aug 1, 2028
KalshiBefore 2028
Will SCOTUS let the Labor Department impose H-2A monetary remedies through agency proceedings?
- Before Aug 1, 202831%
- Total Volume
- 195.1
- Ends
- Aug 1, 2028
KalshiBefore 2028
Will SCOTUS bar the immediate NEPA challenge to the Air Force’s Guam hazardous-waste permit application?
- Before Aug 1, 202871%
- Total Volume
- 0.2
- Ends
- Aug 1, 2028
KalshiBefore 2028
Will SCOTUS allow school employees to sue under Title IX for workplace sex discrimination?
- Before Aug 1, 202830%
- Total Volume
- 162.3
- Ends
- Aug 1, 2028
KalshiBefore 2028
Will SCOTUS overturn or narrow Stinson deference to federal sentencing-guideline commentary?
- Before Aug 1, 202869%
- Total Volume
- 842.5
- Ends
- Aug 1, 2028
KalshiBefore 2028
Will SCOTUS bar contempt for conduct not clearly prohibited by an injunction?
- Before Aug 1, 202873%
- Total Volume
- 0.2
- Ends
- Aug 1, 2028
KalshiBefore 2028
Will SCOTUS reject a benchmark requirement for ERISA fund-underperformance claims?
- Before Aug 1, 202849%
- Total Volume
- 414.8
- Ends
- Aug 1, 2028
Kalshi2025-2027
NYC population change (July 2025 – July 2027)?
- Decrease 0-0.99%38%
- Increase 0.01-0.99%38%
- Decrease 1-1.99%11%
- Increase 1-1.99%10%
- Total Volume
- 87.1K
- Ends
- Jun 1, 2028
KalshiDigital services tax
When will the UK cut or repeal its digital services tax?
- Before Apr 6, 202851%
- Before Apr 6, 202731%
- Before Nov 1, 202628%
- Total Volume
- 616
- Ends
- Nov 1, 2026
KalshiBefore Apr 1, 2028
Which state will vote first in the 2028 Democratic presidential primary?
- New Hampshire88%
- South Carolina8%
- Iowa7%
- Nevada1%
- Total Volume
- 92K
- Ends
- Apr 1, 2028
Kalshiin 2027
How many states will enact a minimum wage increase in 2027?
- At least 10%
- At least 20%
- At least 30%
- At least 40%
- Total Volume
- 0
- Ends
- Jan 1, 2028
Kalshiafter Issuance and befor…
How many new countries will normalize relations with Israel before 2028?
- At least 183%
- At least 245%
- At least 338%
- At least 428%
- Total Volume
- 2.2K
- Ends
- Aug 18, 2026
KalshiBefore Mar 1, 2028
Will Georgia regulators approve 4 more gigawatts of generating capacity?
- Yes87%
- Total Volume
- 1
- Ends
- Mar 1, 2028
KalshiBefore Feb 2028
When will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA?
- Before Apr 1, 202760%
- Before Jan 1, 202757%
- Before Feb 1, 202836%
- Before Dec 1, 202625%
- Total Volume
- 12.8K
- Ends
- Dec 1, 2026
KalshiBefore Jan 22, 2028
Will New Hampshire schedule its 2028 presidential primary before South Carolina?
- Yes88%
- Total Volume
- 3K
- Ends
- Jan 22, 2028
Financials
KalshiTotal Beer Shipments (24…
Constellation Brands Beer Shipments in fiscal 2027
- Above 405 million51%
- Above 410 million51%
- Above 415 million51%
- Above 425 million38%
- Total Volume
- 45
- Ends
- Oct 29, 2028
KalshiKeystone XL revival
When will South Bow announce a decision to build Keystone XL?
- Before Jul 1, 20270%
- Before Jan 1, 20280%
- Before Jul 1, 20280%
- Before Jan 1, 20270%
- Total Volume
- 0
- Ends
- Jan 1, 2027
Kalshiin 2026
Clear active clear+ members in 2026
- Above 8.4 million95%
- Above 8.5 million81%
- Above 8.6 million57%
- Above 8.7 million45%
- Total Volume
- 29.5K
- Ends
- Mar 31, 2028
Kalshiin 2026
Toast total locations in 2026
- Above 189 thousand93%
- Above 195 thousand79%
- Above 198 thousand23%
- Above 201 thousand19%
- Total Volume
- 14.3K
- Ends
- Mar 31, 2028
Kalshiin 2026
Rivian total vehicles delivered in 2026
- Above 3800093%
- Above 4000092%
- Above 4400089%
- Above 4200087%
- Total Volume
- 74.5K
- Ends
- Mar 31, 2028
Kalshiin 2026
Reddit daily active uniques in 2026
- Above 136 million90%
- Above 138 million83%
- Above 140 million56%
- Above 142 million46%
- Total Volume
- 12.1K
- Ends
- Mar 31, 2028
Kalshiin 2026
Ferrari total car shipments in 2026
- Above 1300099%
- Above 1310092%
- Above 1330088%
- Above 1340086%
- Total Volume
- 28.2K
- Ends
- Mar 31, 2028
Kalshiin 2026
Palantir total customer count in 2026
- Above 112086%
- Above 110085%
- Above 114085%
- Above 116061%
- Total Volume
- 20.4K
- Ends
- Mar 31, 2028
Kalshiin 2026
Norwegian Cruise passengers carried in 2026
- Above 3.1 million99%
- Above 3.15 million88%
- Above 3.2 million81%
- Above 3.3 million78%
- Total Volume
- 65.9K
- Ends
- Mar 31, 2028
Kalshiin 2026
Match total payers in 2026
- Above 12.4 million73%
- Above 12.6 million66%
- Above 12.8 million65%
- Above 13 million40%
- Total Volume
- 27K
- Ends
- Mar 31, 2028
Kalshiin 2026
MercadoLibre items sold in 2026
- Above 3 billion88%
- Above 3.05 billion83%
- Above 3.1 billion83%
- Above 3.15 billion80%
- Total Volume
- 35.4K
- Ends
- Mar 31, 2028
Kalshiin 2026
Hims subscribers in 2026
- Above 2.92 million99%
- Above 2.8 million94%
- Above 2.84 million94%
- Above 2.88 million90%
- Total Volume
- 40.4K
- Ends
- Mar 31, 2028
Sports
Kalshi2028
2028 Team USA Men's Basketball Roster
- AJ Dybantsa98%
- Anthony Edwards96%
- Cade Cunningham90%
- Cooper Flagg90%
- Total Volume
- 14.5K
- Ends
- Jul 31, 2028
KalshiThomas Tuchel
Thomas Tuchel: Out by Date
- Out before Jul 10, 202886%
- Out before Jun 1, 202845%
- Out before Jan 1, 202815%
- Out before Jan 1, 20273%
- Total Volume
- 41.5K
- Ends
- Jul 3, 2026
Kalshi20+ Point Streak
How many consecutive regular season games will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander score 20+ points?
- 145+ consecutive games83%
- 155+ consecutive games62%
- 165+ consecutive games58%
- 175+ consecutive games41%
- Total Volume
- 4.2K
- Ends
- May 29, 2028
KalshiNovak Djokovic
Novak Djokovic: Retirement
- Before the 2028 season50%
- Before the 2027 season25%
- Total Volume
- 5.7K
- Ends
- Feb 1, 2028
Elections
KalshiBefore Jul 25, 2028
Prime Minister of Greece after the next election?
- Kyriakos Mitsotakis85%
- Alexis Tsipras3%
- Nikos Dendias2%
- Nikos Androulakis2%
- Total Volume
- 11.4K
- Ends
- Jul 25, 2028
KalshiBefore July 2028
Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- Yes18%
- Total Volume
- 25.9M
- Ends
- Jul 1, 2028
KalshiIn 2028
Philippine Senate election winner?
- NPC57%
- Nacionalista31%
- Total Volume
- 1.4K
- Ends
- May 31, 2029
KalshiIn 2028
Philippine presidential election winner?
- Sara Duterte65%
- Leni Robredo15%
- Francis Pangilinan6%
- Win Gatchalian3%
- Total Volume
- 14.3K
- Ends
- May 31, 2029
KalshiIn 2028
Philippine House winner?
- Lakas38%
- NUP20%
- PFP11%
- NPC10%
- Total Volume
- 15.4K
- Ends
- May 31, 2029
KalshiIn 2028
Dominican Republic Senate election winner?
- Modern Revolutionary Party71%
- Dominican Liberation Party10%
- People's Force10%
- Total Volume
- 2.6K
- Ends
- May 31, 2029
KalshiIn 2028
Australian Senate election winner?
- Australian Labor Party69%
- Liberal-National Coalition14%
- One Nation6%
- Australian Greens0%
- Total Volume
- 2K
- Ends
- May 20, 2029
KalshiIn 2028
Dominican Republic Chamber of Deputies election winner?
- Modern Revolutionary Party69%
- People's Force17%
- Dominican Liberation Party10%
- Total Volume
- 9.4K
- Ends
- May 19, 2029
KalshiAug 18, 2026
AK-AL primary: Who will advance?
- Bill Hill99%
- John Brendan Williams99%
- Nicholas Begich97%
- Matthew Schultz39%
- Total Volume
- 512.1K
- Ends
- Aug 19, 2026
KalshiNext presidential electi…
Turkish presidential election winner?
- Recep Tayyip Erdoğan51%
- Ekrem İmamoğlu15%
- Ahmet Davutoğlu11%
- Sinan Oğan5%
- Total Volume
- 16.5K
- Ends
- May 7, 2030
KalshiIn 2028
Turkish presidential election: first round winner?
- Recep Tayyip Erdoğan66%
- Ekrem İmamoğlu16%
- Mansur Yavaş6%
- Total Volume
- 26.3K
- Ends
- May 7, 2029
KalshiIn 2028
Turkish general election winner?
- AKP68%
- CHP12%
- DEM4%
- MHP4%
- Total Volume
- 8.5K
- Ends
- May 7, 2029
Kalshi2028
2028 London mayoral election winner?
- Sadiq Khan27%
- Laila Cunningham24%
- David Lammy8%
- Georgia Gould6%
- Total Volume
- 16.5K
- Ends
- May 1, 2029
KalshiIn 2028
Paraguayan Senate election winner?
- Colorado77%
- PLRA15%
- PCN2%
- CN20232%
- Total Volume
- 3.7K
- Ends
- Apr 30, 2029
KalshiIn 2028
Paraguayan Chamber of Deputies election winner?
- Colorado82%
- PLRA18%
- PPQ6%
- PEN6%
- Total Volume
- 358
- Ends
- Apr 30, 2029
KalshiApr 18, 2026
French presidential election: who will advance?
- Marine Le Pen84%
- Édouard Philippe38%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon35%
- Gabriel Attal16%
- Total Volume
- 1.5K
- Ends
- Apr 17, 2028
KalshiBefore Apr 6, 2028
Will Chuck Schumer run for reelection?
- Yes32%
- Total Volume
- 3K
- Ends
- Apr 6, 2028
KalshiBefore 2028
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028?
- Before 202842%
- Total Volume
- 30K
- Ends
- Apr 1, 2028
KalshiBefore Mar 28, 2028
Will John Thune run for reelection?
- Yes76%
- Total Volume
- 12
- Ends
- Mar 28, 2028
KalshiBefore Mar 1, 2028
Who will Donald Trump endorse in the 2028 presidential election?
- J.D. Vance42%
- Marco Rubio32%
- No one17%
- Donald J. Trump Jr.9%
- Total Volume
- 34.4K
- Ends
- Mar 1, 2028
KalshiBefore Mar 1, 2028
Will Joe Manchin run for president in 2028?
- Yes25%
- Total Volume
- 693.5
- Ends
- Mar 1, 2028
KalshiBefore Feb 16, 2028
Who will run for Pennsylvania Senate in 2028?
- Chris Deluzio78%
- John Fetterman36%
- Susan Wild17%
- Brendan Boyle4%
- Total Volume
- 2.8K
- Ends
- Feb 16, 2028
KalshiBefore Feb 6, 2028
Prime Minister of Fiji after the next election?
- Aseri Radrodro7%
- Biman Prasad5%
- Tupou Draunidalo5%
- Inia Seruiratu0%
- Total Volume
- 17.7
- Ends
- Feb 6, 2028
KalshiIn 2028
Taiwan presidential election winner?
- William Lai67%
- Hou Yu-ih12%
- Terry Gou10%
- Total Volume
- 10.7K
- Ends
- Jan 30, 2029
Kalshias of October 31, 2027
How many Idaho groundwater rights will be curtailed in 2027?
- Above 50091%
- Above 60080%
- Above 70077%
- Above 80071%
- Total Volume
- 41.4K
- Ends
- Oct 31, 2027
Science and Technology
Kalshiintismeran autogene (V94…
Will the FDA approve intismeran autogene (V940/mRNA-4157)?
- Before Jan 1, 202884%
- Before Oct 1, 202768%
- Before Apr 1, 20270%
- Before Jul 1, 20280%
- Total Volume
- 693.1
- Ends
- Apr 1, 2027
Economics
Kalshi2027
Kentucky coal production in 2027
- Above 20 million short tons86%
- Above 22 million short tons71%
- Above 24 million short tons39%
- Above 26 million short tons14%
- Total Volume
- 59.4K
- Ends
- Apr 30, 2028
Kalshi2027
US real GDP growth in 2027?
- 2.1% to 2.5%15%
- 1.6% to 2.0%14%
- 2.6% to 3.0%13%
- 1.1% to 1.5%7%
- Total Volume
- 28.2K
- Ends
- Feb 28, 2028
KalshiDecember 2027
US headline CPI inflation in December 2027
- Above 0.0%98%
- Above 1.0%95%
- Above 1.5%95%
- Above 0.5%89%
- Total Volume
- 9.2K
- Ends
- Feb 1, 2028
Kalshi2027
Mississippi cotton production in 2027
- Above 700,000 bales86%
- Above 800,000 bales80%
- Above 900,000 bales59%
- Above 1,000,000 bales38%
- Total Volume
- 21.5K
- Ends
- Jan 31, 2028
Kalshi2027
Will Indiana corn yield exceed 205 bushels per acre in 2027?
- Above 205 bu/acre0%
- Total Volume
- 0
- Ends
- Jan 31, 2028
Kalshi2027
US nominal GDP growth in 2027
- Above 1.0%88%
- Above 2.0%85%
- Above 0.5%79%
- Above 4.0%74%
- Total Volume
- 4.4
- Ends
- Jan 28, 2028
KalshiIn 2027
Recession in 2027?
- Yes25%
- Total Volume
- 366.9K
- Ends
- Jan 31, 2028
KalshiOn Jan 26, 2028
Fed decision in Jan 2028?
- Fed maintains rate64%
- Hike >25bps20%
- Hike 25bps19%
- Cut 25bps16%
- Total Volume
- 7.4K
- Ends
- Jan 26, 2028
Companies
Kalshiin 2026
Meta headcount in 2026
- Above 6500086%
- Above 6800081%
- Above 7100059%
- Above 7400040%
- Total Volume
- 48.8K
- Ends
- Mar 31, 2028
Kalshiin 2026
United Airlines passengers flown in 2026
- Above 178 million99%
- Above 182 million91%
- Above 186 million76%
- Above 180 million65%
- Total Volume
- 26.1K
- Ends
- Mar 31, 2028
Kalshiin 2026
Tesla total production in 2026
- Above 1.5 million99%
- Above 1.55 million99%
- Above 1.6 million88%
- Above 1.65 million80%
- Total Volume
- 10.7K
- Ends
- Mar 31, 2028
Kalshiin 2026
Tesla total deliveries in 2026
- Above 1.5 million99%
- Above 1.55 million95%
- Above 1.6 million91%
- Above 1.65 million87%
- Total Volume
- 59.5K
- Ends
- Mar 31, 2028
Kalshiin 2026
Spotify premium subscribers in 2026
- Above 314 million70%
- Above 318 million29%
- Above 320 million22%
- Above 322 million16%
- Total Volume
- 10.3K
- Ends
- Mar 31, 2028
Kalshiin 2026
Spotify total monthly active users in 2026
- Above 800 million97%
- Above 790 million94%
- Above 810 million80%
- Above 820 million65%
- Total Volume
- 19.5K
- Ends
- Mar 31, 2028
Kalshiin 2026
Starbucks total global stores in 2026
- Above 4130095%
- Above 4140084%
- Above 4150075%
- Above 4160043%
- Total Volume
- 87.5K
- Ends
- Mar 31, 2028
Kalshiin 2026
Starbucks comparable transactions growth in 2026
- Above 2%93%
- Above 3%76%
- Above 4%59%
- Above 5%38%
- Total Volume
- 1.4K
- Ends
- Mar 31, 2028
Kalshiin 2026
Altria domestic cigarette shipments in 2026
- Above 55 billion93%
- Above 59.5 billion90%
- Above 60 billion84%
- Above 56 billion80%
- Total Volume
- 47.7K
- Ends
- Mar 31, 2028
Kalshiin 2026
Meta family daily active people in 2026
- Above 3.66 billion90%
- Above 3.68 billion79%
- Above 3.7 billion71%
- Above 3.72 billion64%
- Total Volume
- 4.7K
- Ends
- Mar 31, 2028
Kalshiin 2026
Southwest Airlines seats flown in 2026
- Above 225 million85%
- Above 227 million59%
- Above 233 million49%
- Above 229 million32%
- Total Volume
- 3.1K
- Ends
- Mar 31, 2028
Kalshiin 2026
Robinhood funded customers in 2026
- Above 28 million95%
- Above 28.2 million93%
- Above 28.8 million93%
- Above 28.6 million91%
- Total Volume
- 213K
- Ends
- Mar 31, 2028
Kalshiin 2026
Grab monthly transacting users in 2026
- Above 55 million77%
- Above 55.5 million77%
- Above 56 million72%
- Above 57 million58%
- Total Volume
- 28.9K
- Ends
- Mar 31, 2028
Kalshiin 2026
Ford US vehicle sales volume in 2026
- Above 1.8 million98%
- Above 1.85 million98%
- Above 1.9 million96%
- Above 1.95 million94%
- Total Volume
- 53.2K
- Ends
- Mar 31, 2028
Kalshiin 2026
eBay gross merchandise volume in 2026
- Above $84 billion93%
- Above $84.5 billion89%
- Above $85.5 billion88%
- Above $85 billion87%
- Total Volume
- 56.9K
- Ends
- Mar 31, 2028
Kalshiin 2026
Carvana retail vehicle unit sales in 2026
- Above 780 thousand96%
- Above 790 thousand90%
- Above 800 thousand83%
- Above 810 thousand72%
- Total Volume
- 12.3K
- Ends
- Mar 31, 2028
Kalshiin 2026
Chipotle total restaurant count in 2026
- Above 433099%
- Above 434098%
- Above 431097%
- Above 435095%
- Total Volume
- 19.9K
- Ends
- Mar 31, 2028
Kalshiin 2026
Carnival Cruise available lower berth days in 2026
- Above 97 million97%
- Above 97.1 million92%
- Above 97.2 million92%
- Above 97.3 million87%
- Total Volume
- 41K
- Ends
- Mar 31, 2028
Kalshiin 2026
Boeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 58090%
- Above 60086%
- Above 62082%
- Total Volume
- 217.7K
- Ends
- Mar 31, 2028
Entertainment
KalshiPast Feb 18, 2028
Batman Part II: Delayed past Feb. 18, 2028
- Feb 18, 202817%
- Total Volume
- 444.3
- Ends
- Feb 18, 2028