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KalshiPolitics

Will SCOTUS allow Arizona’s citizenship-proof and pre-election noncitizen-removal rules?

Before 2028

Ends Aug 1, 2028

Bet Now
Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

  • Before Aug 1, 202863.2 VOL.
    Yes 69%No 31%
    69¢

Rules Summary

If the Supreme Court, in Republican National Committee v. Mi Familia Vota, rules neither the National Voter Registration Act nor a federal consent decree bars Arizona from requiring satisfactory evidence of U.S. citizenship on its state voter-registration form, and that the Act does not bar Arizona from canceling noncitizens’ registrations within 90 days of a federal election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
Jul 23, 2026, 2:00 PM
Closes
Aug 1, 2028, 2:00 PM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXSCOTUSCASE · Event KXSCOTUSCASE-RNCMIF28 · Market KXSCOTUSCASE-RNCMIF28