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KalshiPolitics

Will SCOTUS let people seek green cards after their asylum is terminated?

Before 2028

Ends Aug 1, 2028

Bet Now
Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • Before Aug 1, 2028216.4 VOL.
    Yes 28%No 72%
    28¢

Rules Summary

If the Supreme Court, in Wassily v. Blanche, rules termination of a noncitizen’s asylum does not categorically bar that person from seeking adjustment to lawful permanent resident status under 8 U.S.C. § 1159(b), then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 12:00 AM
Closes
Aug 1, 2028, 2:00 PM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXSCOTUSCASE · Event KXSCOTUSCASE-WASBLA28 · Market KXSCOTUSCASE-WASBLA28