KalshiPolitics

NYC population change (July 2025 – July 2027)?

2025-2027

Ends Jun 1, 2028

Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

Decrease 3% or more8.7K VOL.
Yes 6%No 94%
6¢
Decrease 2-2.99%4.1K VOL.
Yes 3%No 97%
3¢
Decrease 1-1.99%10.3K VOL.
Yes 11%No 89%
11¢
Decrease 0-0.99%22.9K VOL.
Yes 38%No 62%
38¢
Increase 0.01-0.99%14K VOL.
Yes 38%No 62%
38¢

Rules Summary

If New York City experiences a population increase of between -3% or less between July 1, 2025 and July 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened: Nov 8, 2025, 3:00 PM
Closes: Jun 1, 2028, 3:59 AM
Pays out: 0.5 hours after close

Series KXPOPCHANGENYC · Event KXPOPCHANGENYC-28JUN01 · Market KXPOPCHANGENYC-28JUN01-NYC-3-NAN