KalshiPolitics
Will SCOTUS require 12-person juries for serious felonies?
Before 2028
Ends Aug 1, 2028
Bet NowDisclosure
18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.
Probability
- Before Aug 1, 20281.4K VOL.Yes 78%No 22%78¢
Rules Summary
If the Supreme Court, in Kian v. Florida, rules the Sixth and Fourteenth Amendments require a 12-person jury when a defendant is charged with a serious felony, then the market resolves to Yes.
Timeline and Payout
- Opened
- Jul 24, 2026, 12:00 AM
- Closes
- Aug 1, 2028, 2:00 PM
- Pays out
- 0.5 hours after close
Series KXSCOTUSCASE · Event KXSCOTUSCASE-KIAFLO28 · Market KXSCOTUSCASE-KIAFLO28