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KalshiPolitics

Will SCOTUS allow religious chilling-effect claims without a final land-use decision?

Before 2028

Ends Aug 1, 2028

Bet Now
Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • Before Aug 1, 2028820.5 VOL.

Rules Summary

If the Supreme Court, in Grand v. City of University Heights, rules the land-use finality requirement does not displace a First Amendment chilling-effect claim based on credible government threats that deter religious exercise, worship, or assembly, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 12:00 AM
Closes
Aug 1, 2028, 2:00 PM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXSCOTUSCASE · Event KXSCOTUSCASE-GRACIT28 · Market KXSCOTUSCASE-GRACIT28