KalshiElections

French presidential election: who will advance?

Apr 18, 2026

Ends Apr 17, 2028

Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

Marine Le Pen1.2 VOL.
Yes 84%No 16%
84¢
Édouard Philippe266.4 VOL.
Yes 38%No 62%
38¢
Jean-Luc Mélenchon679.6 VOL.
Yes 35%No 65%
35¢
Raphaël Glucksmann9.6 VOL.
Yes 8%No 92%
8¢
Gabriel Attal0 VOL.
Yes 16%No 84%
16¢

Rules Summary

If Marine Le Pen is announced to qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened: Jul 10, 2026, 2:00 PM
Closes: Apr 17, 2028, 2:00 PM
Pays out: 0.5 hours after close

Series KXFRPRESADVANCE · Event KXFRPRESADVANCE-26APR18 · Market KXFRPRESADVANCE-26APR18-MLEP