KalshiPolitics
How many new countries will normalize relations with Israel before 2028?
after Issuance and before 2028
Ends Aug 18, 2026
Bet NowDisclosure
18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.
Probability
- At least 11.9K VOL.Yes 83%No 17%83¢
- At least 2103.8 VOL.Yes 45%No 55%45¢
- At least 3213.8 VOL.Yes 38%No 62%38¢
- At least 45 VOL.Yes 28%No 72%28¢
- At least 512.2 VOL.Yes 25%No 75%25¢
Rules Summary
If the number of distinct countries with which Israel has agreed to normalize relations under a ratified agreement is at least 1 after Issuance and before 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Timeline and Payout
- Opened
- Jul 21, 2026, 7:00 PM
- Closes
- Aug 18, 2026, 12:14 AM
- Pays out
- 0.5 hours after close
Series KXISRNORMCOUNT · Event KXISRNORMCOUNT-27DEC31 · Market KXISRNORMCOUNT-27DEC31-AL1