KalshiPolitics
Will SCOTUS overturn or narrow Stinson deference to federal sentencing-guideline commentary?
Before 2028
Ends Aug 1, 2028
Bet NowDisclosure
18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.
- Before Aug 1, 2028537.6 VOL.——
Rules Summary
If the Supreme Court, in Beaird v. United States, rules courts must independently interpret the Sentencing Guidelines or apply a narrower deference framework than Stinson when considering Guidelines commentary, then the market resolves to Yes.
Timeline and Payout
- Opened
- Jul 24, 2026, 12:00 AM
- Closes
- Aug 1, 2028, 2:00 PM
- Pays out
- 0.5 hours after close
Series KXSCOTUSCASE · Event KXSCOTUSCASE-BEAUSA28 · Market KXSCOTUSCASE-BEAUSA28