Prediction Markets

Minnesota Attorney General winner?

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FL-23 House winner?

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FL-13 House winner?

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When will AP call the 2026 U.S. House majority?

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CT-05 House winner?

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CO-08 House winner?

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CO-03 House winner?

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CA-09 House winner?

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South Dakota Governor winner?

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CA-49 House winner?

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Florida Governor winner?

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CA-47 House winner?

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Colorado Governor winner?

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CA-45 House winner?

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CA-41 House winner?

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CA-03 House winner?

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CA-27 House winner?

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CA-22 House winner?

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CA-21 House winner?

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CA-13 House winner?

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AZ-06 House winner?

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AZ-02 House winner?

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AZ-01 House winner?

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Alaska House winner?

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How many House seats will Democrats win in Texas?

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120th Congress: Who will be elected Speaker of the House?

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120th Congress: Who will be Senate Majority Leader?

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Nevada Secretary of State winner?

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Arizona Secretary of State winner?

• Adrian Fontes82%YesNo
• Alexander Kolodin18%YesNo

Total Volume

3.9K

Ends

Nov 3, 2027

119th Congress legislative combo

• Legislating combo9%YesNo
• Dysfunction combo1%YesNo

Total Volume

35.1K

Ends

Jan 3, 2027

Closest Senate race in 2026?

• Texas16%YesNo
• Iowa13%YesNo
• Michigan11%YesNo
• Ohio10%YesNo

Total Volume

430.4K

Ends

Jan 3, 2027

Tossup Senate Race Combo: which states will Democrats win?

• Texas, Alaska, Ohio27%YesNo
• Democratic sweep23%YesNo
• Republican sweep19%YesNo
• Texas, Alaska17%YesNo

Total Volume

24.3K

Ends

Nov 3, 2027

Nigel Farage announces departure as Reform UK leader?

• Before Jan 1, 202721%YesNo
• Before Sep 1, 20261%YesNo

Total Volume

20.5K

Ends

Sep 1, 2026

Closest House race in 2026?

• AK-AL0%YesNo
• MI-100%YesNo
• AL-020%YesNo
• AZ-020%YesNo

Total Volume

0

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Jan 3, 2027

South Dakota Attorney General winner?

• Lance Russell97%YesNo
• Democratic party10%YesNo

Total Volume

138

Ends

Nov 3, 2027

Wyoming Governor winner?

• Eric Barlow98%YesNo
• Kenneth Casner1%YesNo

Total Volume

1.6K

Ends

Nov 3, 2027

Idaho Attorney General winner?

• Raúl Labrador96%YesNo
• Lori Hickman5%YesNo

Total Volume

633

Ends

Nov 3, 2027

Wisconsin Governor winner?

• David Crowley81%YesNo
• Tom Tiffany19%YesNo

Total Volume

994.1K

Ends

Nov 3, 2027

Arizona Attorney General winner?

• Kris Mayes74%YesNo
• Warren Petersen31%YesNo

Total Volume

11.6K

Ends

Nov 3, 2027

Minnesota Governor winner?

• Amy Klobuchar97%YesNo
• Lisa Demuth6%YesNo

Total Volume

351.2K

Ends

Nov 3, 2027

Idaho Governor winner?

• Brad Little98%YesNo
• Terri Pickens4%YesNo

Total Volume

4.1K

Ends

Nov 3, 2027

California Governor winner?

• Xavier Becerra96%YesNo
• Steve Hilton4%YesNo

Total Volume

1.4M

Ends

Nov 3, 2027

California Governor winner? (Person)

• Xavier Becerra96%YesNo
• Steve Hilton4%YesNo

Total Volume

13.7M

Ends

Nov 3, 2027

Vermont Attorney General winner?

• Charity R. Clark93%YesNo
• H. Brooke Paige7%YesNo

Total Volume

4.1K

Ends

Nov 3, 2027

Texas Attorney General winner?

• Mayes Middleton78%YesNo
• Nathan Johnson17%YesNo

Total Volume

10.8K

Ends

Nov 3, 2027

Nevada Attorney General winner?

• Nicole Jeanette Cannizzaro 75%YesNo
• Adriana Guzmán Fralick 17%YesNo

Total Volume

3K

Ends

Nov 3, 2027

Rhode Island Governor winner?

• Democratic party98%YesNo
• Republican party7%YesNo
• Ken Block5%YesNo

Total Volume

15.8K

Ends

Nov 3, 2027

Who will be the next UN Secretary-General?

• Rebeca Grynspan39%YesNo
• Rafael Grossi16%YesNo
• Michelle Bachelet8%YesNo
• Mia Mottley4%YesNo

Total Volume

86.9K

Ends

Jan 5, 2027

Missouri State Senate District 8 winner?

• Jon Patterson80%YesNo
• Keri Ingle31%YesNo

Total Volume

3.9K

Ends

Nov 3, 2027

Nebraska Attorney General winner?

• Mike Hilgers95%YesNo
• Jocelyn Brasher7%YesNo

Total Volume

528.3

Ends

Nov 3, 2027

Vermont Governor winner?

• Phil Scott90%YesNo
• Amanda Janoo7%YesNo

Total Volume

73.1K

Ends

Nov 3, 2027

Massachusetts Governor winner?

• Maura Healey95%YesNo
• Mike Minogue5%YesNo

Total Volume

325.2K

Ends

Nov 3, 2027

WY-AL House winner?

• Chuck Gray93%YesNo
• Lisa Kinney4%YesNo

Total Volume

6.2K

Ends

Nov 3, 2027

Rhode Island Attorney General winner?

• Democratic party93%YesNo
• Republican party7%YesNo

Total Volume

639.9

Ends

Nov 3, 2027

WV-02 House winner?

• Riley Moore98%YesNo
• Ace Parsi1%YesNo

Total Volume

1.5K

Ends

Nov 3, 2027

New York Attorney General winner?

• Letitia James89%YesNo
• Saritha Komatireddy11%YesNo

Total Volume

17.7K

Ends

Nov 3, 2027

WV-01 House winner?

• Carol Miller97%YesNo
• Vince George6%YesNo

Total Volume

2.9K

Ends

Nov 3, 2027

New Mexico Attorney General winner?

• Raúl Torrez93%YesNo
• Samuel Kane10%YesNo

Total Volume

3K

Ends

Nov 3, 2027

WI-08 House winner?

• Tony Wied89%YesNo
• Rick Crosson7%YesNo

Total Volume

17.7K

Ends

Nov 3, 2027

Will Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor be removed from the royal line of succession?

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Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement?

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Will Alberta announce a minimum wage increase in 2026?

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Will the House pass a cap on federal student loan interest rates?

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Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?

• Todd Blanche98%YesNo
• Chris Wright24%YesNo
• Doug Collins21%YesNo
• Kelly Loeffler20%YesNo

Total Volume

714.3K

Ends

Aug 10, 2026

How high will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?

• Above 43%5%YesNo
• Above 45%5%YesNo
• Above 44%4%YesNo
• Above 47%4%YesNo

Total Volume

131.5K

Ends

Jan 7, 2027

How low will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?

• Below 38%98%YesNo
• Below 37%71%YesNo
• Below 36%36%YesNo
• Below 35%28%YesNo

Total Volume

332.8K

Ends

Aug 5, 2026

When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?

• Before Jan 1, 202722%YesNo
• Before Dec 1, 202612%YesNo
• Before Oct 1, 20263%YesNo
• Before Aug 1, 20262%YesNo

Total Volume

45.6K

Ends

Aug 1, 2026

How many reconciliation bills will be passed in 2026?

• 173%YesNo
• 222%YesNo

Total Volume

100.6K

Ends

Jan 2, 2027

X Money APY at end of 2026

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Kroger sales growth (excl. fuel) in Q2

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Dollarama comparable store sales growth in Q2

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10Y-2Y spread at the end of 2026

• Above -20bps96%YesNo
• Above -10bps95%YesNo
• Above 0bps92%YesNo
• Above -30bps89%YesNo

Total Volume

6.5K

Ends

Jan 1, 2027

Chewy active customers in Q2

• Above 21.625 million99%YesNo
• Above 21.7 million99%YesNo
• Above 21.6 million99%YesNo
• Above 21.65 million99%YesNo

Total Volume

34.5K

Ends

Sep 9, 2026

ServiceTitan gross transaction volume in Q2

• Above $26.5 billion99%YesNo
• Above $27 billion2%YesNo
• Above $27.5 billion1%YesNo
• Above $28 billion1%YesNo

Total Volume

44.7K

Ends

Sep 8, 2026

How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026?

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How many PJM capacity emergency days will there be in 2026?

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Kentucky aging Bourbon-barrel inventory as of January 1, 2026

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Average Iowa farmland value in the 2026 ISU survey

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Bank of Canada rate on December 31, 2026

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Number of Bank of Canada rate cuts in 2026?

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Elon Musk net worth on December 31, 2026

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Freddie Mac 30Y fixed-rate mortgage average below 5.75% in 2026?

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Will West Virginia's population grow in 2026?

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Number of US oil rigs at end of 2026

• At least 38099%YesNo
• At least 37090%YesNo
• At least 39089%YesNo
• At least 42087%YesNo

Total Volume

8.1K

Ends

Jan 1, 2027

Will the Fed have an emergency meeting in 2026?

• Before Jan 1, 202714%YesNo

Total Volume

175.9K

Ends

Jan 1, 2027

SOFR at end of Q4 2026

• Above 3.00%99%YesNo
• Above 3.25%98%YesNo
• Above 3.50%75%YesNo
• Above 3.75%75%YesNo

Total Volume

15.3K

Ends

Jan 4, 2027

Will Jeanie Buss agree to sell her remaining minority stake in Los Angeles L before Jan 1, 2027?

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Los Angeles L next governor before Jan 1, 2027?

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Will Johnny Manziel go on ESPN's College GameDay before 2027?

• Johnny Manziel25%YesNo

Total Volume

30.3K

Ends

Jan 1, 2027

Lake Mead end-of-month water elevation in Dec 2026?

• Above 1033 Ft86%YesNo
• Above 1034 Ft86%YesNo
• Above 1035 Ft64%YesNo
• Above 1036 Ft44%YesNo

Total Volume

21.3K

Ends

Jan 7, 2027

UpOnly podcast: Guests this year

• Brian Armstrong19%YesNo
• DegenPing15%YesNo
• James Wynn13%YesNo
• Martin Shkreli9%YesNo

Total Volume

23.1K

Ends

Jan 1, 2027

Sourcery with Molly O'Shea: Will Donald Trump go on?

• Donald J. Trump1%YesNo

Total Volume

442

Ends

Jan 1, 2027

TBPN: Guests this year

• Alex Karp96%YesNo
• Mark Cuban73%YesNo
• Mark Zuckerberg61%YesNo
• Marc Andreessen58%YesNo

Total Volume

2.6K

Ends

Jul 6, 2026

Real Housewives of Salt Lake: Will Meredith Marks go on?

• Meredith Marks98%YesNo

Total Volume

7.3K

Ends

Jan 1, 2027

Jimmy Kimmel: Guests in 2026

• Travis Scott63%YesNo
• Timothée Chalamet48%YesNo
• Ryan Gosling39%YesNo
• Jennifer Lawrence26%YesNo

Total Volume

21.9K

Ends

Jan 1, 2027

Dancing with the Stars S35: Will Jake Shane go on?

• Jake Shane7%YesNo

Total Volume

5.7K

Ends

Jan 1, 2027

Jimmy Fallon: Guests in 2026

• Christopher Nolan99%YesNo
• Travis Scott99%YesNo
• Tom Holland84%YesNo
• Timothée Chalamet53%YesNo

Total Volume

29.1K

Ends

Jul 15, 2026

Dancing with the Stars S35: Will Eric Adams go on?

• Eric Adams10%YesNo

Total Volume

2K

Ends

Jan 1, 2027

Who will go on Tiny Desk this year?

• SZA26%YesNo
• Chappell Roan23%YesNo
• Olivia Dean23%YesNo
• Elton John21%YesNo

Total Volume

8.8K

Ends

Jan 1, 2027

Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?

• OpenAI42%YesNo
• xAI14%YesNo
• Alibaba10%YesNo
• Z.ai10%YesNo

Total Volume

356.7K

Ends

Jan 1, 2027