KalshiScience and Technology

Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?

In 2026

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

Meta35.3K VOL.
Yes 6%No 94%
6¢
Nvidia34.5K VOL.
Yes 5%No 95%
5¢
xAI90.8K VOL.
Yes 13%No 87%
13¢
Mistral2.9K VOL.
Yes 2%No 98%
2¢
Deepseek21.8K VOL.
Yes 3%No 97%
3¢

Rules Summary

If Meta has a #1 ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened: Jan 1, 2026, 5:01 AM
Closes: Jan 1, 2027, 3:00 PM
Pays out: 0.08 hours after close

Series KXTOPAI · Event KXTOPAI-27 · Market KXTOPAI-27-JAN01-META