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How many PJM capacity emergency days will there be in 2026?

2026

Ends Sep 2, 2026

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Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • Above 10 days12.8K VOL.
    Yes 84%No 16%
    84¢
  • Above 12 days22K VOL.
    Yes 77%No 23%
    77¢
  • Above 15 days19.5K VOL.
    Yes 32%No 68%
    32¢
  • Above 20 days12.7K VOL.
    Yes 8%No 92%
    8¢
  • Above 25 days22.6K VOL.
    Yes 6%No 94%
    6¢

Rules Summary

If the the number of calendar days on which an RTO-wide PJM Maximum Generation Emergency/Load Management Alert – Capacity Emergency – NERC EEA 1 was applicable in 2026 is above 10 days, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 4:00 PM
Closes
Sep 2, 2026, 7:31 PM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXPJMEMERGENCY · Event KXPJMEMERGENCY-26DEC31 · Market KXPJMEMERGENCY-26DEC31-T10