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KalshiFinancials

10Y-2Y spread at the end of 2026

December 31, 2026

Ends Jan 1, 2027

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Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • Above -30bps316.3 VOL.
  • Above -20bps266 VOL.
  • Above -10bps76 VOL.
  • Above 0bps224 VOL.
  • Above 10bps212.1 VOL.

Rules Summary

If the daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 is above -30bps, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
Jul 8, 2026, 12:03 AM
Closes
Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KX10Y2YDATE · Event KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31 · Market KX10Y2YDATE-26DEC31-T-30