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KalshiElections

Wisconsin's 3rd District margin of victory

Wisconsin's 3rd District

Ends Nov 3, 2027

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Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • Republicans, 2+ pts0 VOL.
    Yes 0%No 100%
  • Republicans, 5+ pts330.3 VOL.
    Yes 9%No 91%
  • Republicans, 8+ pts1 VOL.
    Yes 6%No 94%

Rules Summary

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Wisconsin's 3rd District by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
May 5, 2026, 8:21 PM
Closes
Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXMIDTERMMOV · Event KXMIDTERMMOV-WI03R · Market KXMIDTERMMOV-WI03R-P2