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KalshiElections

Wisconsin's 3rd District margin of victory

Wisconsin's 3rd District

Ends Nov 3, 2027

Bet Now
Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • Democrats, 1+ pts5 VOL.
    Yes 68%No 32%
    68¢
  • Democrats, 4+ pts490.9 VOL.
    Yes 48%No 52%
    48¢
  • Democrats, 7+ pts2 VOL.
    Yes 29%No 71%
    29¢
  • Democrats, 10+ pts0 VOL.
    Yes 0%No 100%
    0¢
  • Democrats, 13+ pts0 VOL.
    Yes 0%No 100%
    0¢

Rules Summary

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Wisconsin's 3rd District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
May 5, 2026, 8:21 PM
Closes
Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXMIDTERMMOV · Event KXMIDTERMMOV-WI03D · Market KXMIDTERMMOV-WI03D-P1