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KalshiEconomics

Will US wage growth exceed 3.7% by July 2027?

any reference month from August 2026 through July 2027

Ends Aug 6, 2027

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Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

  • Above 3.7%2.3 VOL.
    Yes 20%No 80%
    20¢

Rules Summary

If BLS reports that the 12-month percent change in average hourly earnings of all employees on private nonfarm payrolls for any reference month from August 2026 through July 2027, inclusive, is strictly above 3.7%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
Aug 19, 2026, 10:00 PM
Closes
Aug 6, 2027, 12:29 PM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXAHEG · Event KXAHEG-27AUG06 · Market KXAHEG-27AUG06-T3.7