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KalshiPolitics

Will Tucker Carlson form a third party this year?

Before Jan 1, 2027

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Bet Now
Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • Yes880.8 VOL.
    Yes 14%No 86%
    14¢

Rules Summary

If a new U.S. political party with Tucker Carlson as a founder, co-founder, or principal organizer files with the FEC or a state election authority as a political party or party committee after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 11:32 PM
Closes
Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXTUCKERTHIRDPARTY · Event KXTUCKERTHIRDPARTY-27 · Market KXTUCKERTHIRDPARTY-27