KalshiEconomics
Will Trump cut the China trade gap below $150B in 2026?
In 2026
Ends Feb 4, 2027
Bet NowDisclosure
18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.
Probability
- Below $150B210.6 VOL.Yes 2%No 98%2¢
Rules Summary
If the the U.S. goods trade deficit with China for calendar year 2026 is below $150 billion, then the market resolves to Yes.
Timeline and Payout
- Opened
- Jun 3, 2026, 11:30 PM
- Closes
- Feb 4, 2027, 1:29 PM
- Pays out
- 0.5 hours after close
Series KXTRUMPTRADEGAP · Event KXTRUMPTRADEGAP-27FEB04 · Market KXTRUMPTRADEGAP-27FEB04-T150