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KalshiClimate and Weather

Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2028?

Before 2028

Ends Dec 31, 2028

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Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

  • Before 202813.7K VOL.
    Yes 11%No 89%
    11¢

Rules Summary

If there is at least an earthquake of 8.0 magnitude with an epicenter in California or its territorial waters before Dec 31, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
Jun 21, 2025, 5:00 PM
Closes
Dec 31, 2028, 4:59 AM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXEARTHQUAKECALIFORNIA · Event KXEARTHQUAKECALIFORNIA-28 · Market KXEARTHQUAKECALIFORNIA-28