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KalshiClimate and Weather

Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?

Before 2027

Ends Jan 1, 2027

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Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

  • Before 2027459.9K VOL.
    Yes 4%No 96%

Rules Summary

If there is at least an earthquake of 8 magnitude with an epicenter in California or its territorial waters before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
Jan 1, 2026, 3:00 PM
Closes
Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXEARTHQUAKECALIFORNIA · Event KXEARTHQUAKECALIFORNIA-27 · Market KXEARTHQUAKECALIFORNIA-27