KalshiClimate and Weather
Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?
Before 2050
Ends Jan 1, 2050
Bet NowDisclosure
18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.
Probability
- Before 205017.3K VOL.Yes 79%No 21%79¢
Rules Summary
If the annual global mean surface temperature anomaly has reached or exceeded +2.0°C above pre-industrial levels (1850-1900 average) in any calendar year before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.
Timeline and Payout
- Opened
- Jun 5, 2025, 4:45 PM
- Closes
- Jan 1, 2050, 4:59 AM
- Pays out
- 0.5 hours after close
Series KXWARMING · Event KXWARMING-50 · Market KXWARMING-50