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KalshiClimate and Weather

Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?

Before 2050

Ends Jan 1, 2050

Bet Now
  • Before 205015.9K VOL.

Rules Summary

If the annual global mean surface temperature anomaly has reached or exceeded +2.0°C above pre-industrial levels (1850-1900 average) in any calendar year before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
Jun 5, 2025, 4:45 PM
Closes
Jan 1, 2050, 4:59 AM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXWARMING · Event KXWARMING-50 · Market KXWARMING-50