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KalshiPolitics

Will the US government rescind the Anthropic ban?

Before Jun 2, 2026

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Bet Now
Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • Before Jul 1, 20263.7K VOL.
  • Before Aug 1, 20264K VOL.
    Yes 1%No 99%
  • Before Jan 1, 20273K VOL.
    Yes 47%No 53%
    47¢

Rules Summary

If the Department of Defense or the White House announces an official action rescinding, waiving, or materially modifying the supply-chain-risk designation or phaseout directive applicable to Anthropic, so as to permit federal government or Department of Defense use of Anthropic's AI models or services before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
Jun 1, 2026, 9:00 PM
Closes
Jul 1, 2026, 3:59 AM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXANTHROPICRESCIND · Event KXANTHROPICRESCIND-26JUN · Market KXANTHROPICRESCIND-26JUN-26JUL01