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KalshiPolitics

Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026?

Before 2027

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Bet Now
Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • Before 20271M VOL.
    Yes 7%No 93%

Rules Summary

If the United States recognizes Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
Jan 8, 2026, 3:00 PM
Closes
Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXRECOGPERSONIRAN · Event KXRECOGPERSONIRAN-26 · Market KXRECOGPERSONIRAN-26