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KalshiPolitics

Will the United Kingdom join the EU?

EU Accession

Ends Dec 31, 2031

Bet Now
Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • Before 2032570.7 VOL.
    Yes 8%No 92%
    8¢
  • Before 2035125 VOL.
    Yes 10%No 90%
    10¢
  • Before 2040194.9 VOL.
    Yes 11%No 89%
    11¢

Rules Summary

If the United Kingdom has joined the EU by Jan 1, 2032, or the date that the country will officially join per its accession treaty is Jan 1, 2032, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
Jun 18, 2026, 4:06 PM
Closes
Dec 31, 2031, 3:00 PM
Pays out
1 hour after close

Series KXEUUK · Event KXEUUK-25 · Market KXEUUK-25-31