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KalshiPolitics

Will the U.S. grant CAATSA sanctions relief to Turkey this year?

Before Jan 1, 2027

Ends Oct 1, 2026

Bet Now
Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

  • Before Oct 1, 2026104.6 VOL.
    Yes 23%No 77%
    23¢
  • Before Jan 1, 20272.4K VOL.
    Yes 40%No 60%
    40¢

Rules Summary

If the White House, the U.S. Department of State, or the U.S. Department of the Treasury announce the completion sanctions-relief action, through a waiver, license, termination, revocation, delisting, or equivalent mechanism, that removes or suspends any sanction imposed on December 14, 2020, under CAATSA Section 231 against Turkey’s Presidency of Defense Industries (SSB) or any Turkish official named in that action, or authorizes conduct otherwise prohibited by any such sanction before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 4:15 PM
Closes
Oct 1, 2026, 3:59 AM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXCAATSA · Event KXCAATSA-26JUL · Market KXCAATSA-26JUL-26OCT01