KalshiEconomics
Will the Sahm Rule trigger in 2026?
In 2026
Ends Jan 8, 2027
Bet NowDisclosure
18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.
- Yes3K VOL.Yes 12%No 88%12¢
Rules Summary
If the real-time Sahm Rule Recession Indicator for any monthly observation from Issuance through December 2026 is At least 0.50ㅤ, then the market resolves to Yes.
Timeline and Payout
- Opened
- May 12, 2026, 12:00 AM
- Closes
- Jan 8, 2027, 1:29 PM
- Pays out
- 0.5 hours after close
Series KXSAHM · Event KXSAHM-27JAN08 · Market KXSAHM-27JAN08-T0.50