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KalshiEconomics

Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year?

In 2026

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Bet Now
Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • In 2026595.6K VOL.
    Yes 5%No 95%

Rules Summary

If the Federal Reserve cuts rates by more than 25 basis points before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
Jan 6, 2026, 3:00 PM
Closes
Jan 1, 2027, 3:00 PM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXLARGECUT · Event KXLARGECUT-26 · Market KXLARGECUT-26